Saturday , 14 November 2026

France vs Poland, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
France
1 – 1
Full Time
Poland
Tue 25 Jun 2024 · 16:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 59,728 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe pen 56' 1–0
1–1 79' Robert Lewandowski pen
Y 24' Nicola Zalewski
Adrien Rabiot 43' Y
Y 53' Michal Probierz
Y 89' Pawel Dawidowicz
Y 90' Karol Swiderski

Overview

Match Preview

France vs Poland — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.

  • France 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Poland 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
9 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
France 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Poland
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-25 France 1–1 Poland 2022-12-04 France 3–1 Poland

Recent Form

France
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
21 Jun Netherlands A 0–0 D
17 Jun Austria A 1–0 W
18 Dec Argentina A 5–7 L
14 Dec Morocco H 2–0 W
10 Dec England A 2–1 W
Poland
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun France A 1–1 D
21 Jun Austria H 1–3 L
16 Jun Netherlands H 1–2 L
04 Dec France A 1–3 L
30 Nov Argentina H 0–2 L
26 Nov Saudi Arabia H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
France this season
0% Clean Sheets
Poland this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

France
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Poland
Krzysztof Piatek 1 G
Adam Buksa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between France and Poland is underway.
  • 5' Poland is showing some good football. However, Poland are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. France and Poland are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Kylian Mbappe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 25 goals this season.
  • 20' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 24' The referee has no hesitation. Nicola Zalewski is booked for Poland — card on 24.
  • 29' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 29 minutes.
  • 34' France are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' Mike Maignan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 477 appearances.
  • 43' Adrien Rabiot catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 48' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both France and Poland are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Michal Probierz is booked for Poland — card on 53.
  • 56' What a moment for Kylian Mbappe! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 61' France ring the changes. N'Golo Kante has done his job and it is now time for Eduardo Camavinga to step up.
  • 66' It’s high time Didier Deschamps made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Poland! Michal Skoras comes on to replace Nicola Zalewski.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' Ousmane Dembele has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 12 goals to his name this season.
  • 79' Goal! Robert Lewandowski scores his 307 goal in 551 matches.
  • 81' Youssouf Fofana is replacing Aurelien Tchouameni for the France side.
  • 86' Another substitution for France to replace Ousmane Dembele by Randal Kolo Muani on 86 minute.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pawel Dawidowicz.
  • 90' That is a card for Poland. Karol Swiderski will be fuming at that decision.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

France Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Didier Deschamps

Poland Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michal Probierz

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 France xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Poland xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
France51% Draw26% Poland23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

France or Draw
78%
Draw or Poland
49%
France or Poland
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
France34% Draw48% Poland18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — France

Handicap France covers Push Poland covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

France keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.