France vs Poland, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
France vs Poland — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
- Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
11 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
France this season
France this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Poland this season
Poland this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
France
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Poland
| Krzysztof Piatek | 1 G |
| Adam Buksa | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! France welcome Poland for this crunch clash at Signal Iduna Park.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. William Saliba made 427 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Signal Iduna Park. France seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Youssouf Fofana is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Poland so far.
- 24' That is a card for Poland. Nicola Zalewski will be fuming at that decision.
- 29' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 34' Poland are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 39' It’s high time Didier Deschamps made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 43' Adrien Rabiot was booked on 43.
- 48' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Didier Deschamps will be considering his options from the bench.
- 53' Poland player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' A stunning finish from Kylian Mbappe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 61' Eduardo Camavinga is ready to make an impact after coming on for N'Golo Kante at the 61 minute mark.
- 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 68' The Poland bench stirs into life. Nicola Zalewski is withdrawn and Michal Skoras gets his opportunity.
- 73' Kacper Urbanski needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Poland needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' Against the run of play, Robert Lewandowski has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 81' It is a substitution in France team. Aurelien Tchouameni is replaced by Youssouf Fofana on 81 minute.
- 86' France make a change. Ousmane Dembele trudges off to be replaced by Randal Kolo Muani on 86 minutes.
- 89' Pawel Dawidowicz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' That is a card for Poland. Karol Swiderski will be fuming at that decision.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
France Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 13
- 14
- 10
- 17
- 16
- 5
- 8
- 4
- 22
- 11
- 25
Bench
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↑ 61'
- 23
- 1
- 3
-
19
Youssouf Fofana ↑ 81'
-
12
Randal Kolo Muani ↑ 86'
- 20
- 2
- 24
- 21
-
7
Antoine Griezmann ↑ 61'
- 15
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 61'
- 18
Coach
Didier Deschamps
Poland Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 5
- 9
- 10
- 12
- 20
- 19
- 8
- 26
-
21
Nicola Zalewski ↓ Michal Skoras 68'
- 14
- 3
Bench
- 11
- 1
- 18
- 23
- 2
- 17
- 6
- 13
-
7
Karol Swiderski ↑ 68'
- 16
- 4
- 15
- 24
-
25
Michal Skoras ↑ 68'
- 22
Coach
Michal Probierz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
Head to Head
France Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
France xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Poland xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
France or Draw
78%
Draw or Poland
49%
France or Poland
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — France
| Handicap | France covers | Push | Poland covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
France keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.