Thursday , 2 July 2026

France vs Poland, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
France
1 – 1
Full Time
Poland
Tue 25 Jun 2024 · 16:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 59,728 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe pen 56' 1–0
1–1 79' Robert Lewandowski pen
Y 24' Nicola Zalewski
Adrien Rabiot 43' Y
Y 53' Michal Probierz
Y 89' Pawel Dawidowicz
Y 90' Karol Swiderski

Overview

Match Preview

France vs Poland — European Championship at Signal Iduna Park.

  • France 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Poland 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
13 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 3.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
France 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Poland
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-25 France 1–1 Poland 2022-12-04 France 3–1 Poland

Recent Form

France
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
21 Jun Netherlands A 0–0 D
17 Jun Austria A 1–0 W
18 Dec Argentina A 5–7 L
14 Dec Morocco H 2–0 W
10 Dec England A 2–1 W
Poland
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun France A 1–1 D
21 Jun Austria H 1–3 L
16 Jun Netherlands H 1–2 L
04 Dec France A 1–3 L
30 Nov Argentina H 0–2 L
26 Nov Saudi Arabia H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
France this season
0% Clean Sheets
Poland this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

France
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Poland
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Poland
Krzysztof Piatek 1 G
Adam Buksa 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between France and Poland is underway.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Poland is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' It’s high time Didier Deschamps made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Jan Bednarek has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 53 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 24' It’s gonna be a card for Nicola Zalewski.
  • 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. France needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michal Skoras suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' That looks like a foul for a card for Adrien Rabiot.
  • 48' France is showing some good football. However, France are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 53' It’s a booking for Poland player. Michal Probierz gets a card.
  • 56' GOAL! Kylian Mbappe scores on 56.
  • 61' It is a substitution in France team. N'Golo Kante is replaced by Eduardo Camavinga on 61 minute.
  • 66' Mike Maignan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 68' Michal Skoras has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicola Zalewski on 68 minute.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Poland that had 111 games and scored 18 goals.
  • 78' Poland started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
  • 79' What an equalizer from Robert Lewandowski!
  • 81' The whistle greets Aurelien Tchouameni as he departs to be replaced by Youssouf Fofana.
  • 86' The France manager makes a substitution. Ousmane Dembele departs to be replaced by Randal Kolo Muani.
  • 89' Poland player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Poland player sees a card in front of him.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

France Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Didier Deschamps

Poland Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michal Probierz

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 France xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Poland xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
France51% Draw26% Poland23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

France or Draw
78%
Draw or Poland
49%
France or Poland
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
France34% Draw48% Poland18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — France

Handicap France covers Push Poland covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

France keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.