Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 1
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 25' Lucas Ramon
Adam Bareiro 62' Y
Yago Pikachu 88' Y
Y 88' Joao Victor
Matheus Pereira 90' Y
Marinho 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

1
1
Fortaleza EC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC 2025-04-06 Mirassol FC 1–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L
03 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
29 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul RB Bragantino H 3–1 W
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W
26 Jul EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
23 Jul Ceará SC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Fortaleza EC and Mirassol FC get this one started.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Mirassol FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Matheus Pereira, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 17' The deadlock is broken! Edson Carioca gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Ramon on 25.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Tomas Pochettino gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Pablo Barbosa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Gaston Avila is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 62' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adam Bareiro on 62 minutes.
  • 63' Yago Pikachu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Sasha at the 63 minute mark.
  • 68' The Mirassol FC bench stirs into life. Chico is withdrawn and Carlos Eduardo gets his opportunity.
  • 73' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 74' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Adam Bareiro exits the field as Juan Lucero enters on 74.
  • 75' The whistle greets Negueba as he departs to be replaced by Yago Felipe.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Cristian Renato on, Edson Carioca off on 76 minutes.
  • 79' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Allanzinho by Marinho on 79 minute.
  • 84' Roni has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 88' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Yago Pikachu gets a card.
  • 88' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Neto Moura departs to be replaced by Roni.
  • 90' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Matheus Pereira will be fuming at that decision.
  • With this win, Mirassol FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC28% Draw30% Mirassol FC42%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
58%
Draw or Mirassol FC
72%
Fortaleza EC or Mirassol FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC19% Draw51% Mirassol FC30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.