Thursday , 1 October 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 1
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 25' Lucas Ramon
Adam Bareiro 62' Y
Yago Pikachu 88' Y
Y 88' Joao Victor
Matheus Pereira 90' Y
Marinho 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

1
1
Fortaleza EC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC 2025-04-06 Mirassol FC 1–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L
03 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
29 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul RB Bragantino H 3–1 W
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W
26 Jul EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
23 Jul Ceará SC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Fortaleza EC get us underway at Castelao.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Mirassol FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' Edson Carioca does the damage! The net is bulging and Mirassol FC surge ahead!
  • 22' The 26-year-old Jemmes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' That is a card for Mirassol FC. Lucas Ramon will be fuming at that decision.
  • 30' Mirassol FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' Mirassol FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Mirassol FC backline.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Pablo Barbosa as he leaves the pitch. Tomas Pochettino steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 51' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Eros Mancuso has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' Reinaldo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 61' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' It’s gonna be a card for Adam Bareiro.
  • 63' Fortaleza EC make a change. Lucas Sasha trudges off to be replaced by Yago Pikachu on 63 minutes.
  • 68' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Chico departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
  • 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 74' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Adam Bareiro is withdrawn and Juan Lucero gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Yago Felipe is replacing Negueba for the Mirassol FC side.
  • 76' Mirassol FC ring the changes. Edson Carioca has done his job and it is now time for Cristian Renato to step up.
  • 79' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Allanzinho by Marinho on 79 minute.
  • 84' Yago Felipe, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Yago Pikachu.
  • 88' Roni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Neto Moura on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Pereira is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 90.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Fortaleza EC and Mirassol FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC28% Draw30% Mirassol FC42%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
58%
Draw or Mirassol FC
72%
Fortaleza EC or Mirassol FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC19% Draw51% Mirassol FC30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.