Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
2 – 0
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Moises 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

4
3
7
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
08 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
05 Dec AC Goianiense A 1–3 L
01 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
08 Dec SE Palmeiras A 1–0 W
05 Dec Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
01 Dec CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
26 Nov Criciúma EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fortaleza EC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Fortaleza EC launch into their encounter with Fluminense FC.
  • 4' A goal from the Argentina international Juan Lucero! He fires home on 4 to make it 1-0!
  • 9' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 14' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Kevin Serna departs to be replaced by Lima.
  • 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
  • 21' What composure from Tinga! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 26' Marinho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 48 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 36' Lucas Sasha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' Fluminense FC have won 432 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Agustin Canobbio is replaced by Keno.
  • 51' Titi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
  • 56' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! David Luiz comes on to replace Tinga.
  • 67' Fluminense FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Ruben Lezcano on, Hercules off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Leandro Martinez has done his job and it is now time for Jose Welison to step up.
  • 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Everaldo made 183 appearances and scored 58 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 82' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Joaquin Lavega has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. German Cano is replaced by Everaldo.
  • 85' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 85 minute. Juan Lucero leaves to be changed by Deyverson.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Moises gets a card.
  • Fluminense FC will have plenty to reflect on. Fortaleza EC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
German Cano 5
Moises Vieira 3
Thiago Galhardo 2
Robson 2
Juan Lucero 2
Titi 2
Tinga 1
Joao Pedro 1

Head to Head

2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-07 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-09-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Fortaleza EC 2023-04-29 Fortaleza EC 4–2 Fluminense FC

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-12-08 Fortaleza EC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2024-12-05 AC Goianiense 3–1 Fortaleza EC L 2024-12-01 EC Vitoria 2–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-11-26 Fortaleza EC 0–0 CR Flamengo D 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC D

Fluminense FC Form

2025-03-29 Fortaleza EC 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC W 2024-12-05 Fluminense FC 1–0 Cuiaba EC W 2024-12-01 CA Paranaense 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2024-11-26 Fluminense FC 0–0 Criciúma EC D 2024-11-23 Fluminense FC 2–2 Fortaleza EC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC52% Draw27% Fluminense FC21%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
48%
Fortaleza EC or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC35% Draw50% Fluminense FC15%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.7%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.