Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 3 May 2025 · 21:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs SC RecifeSerie A at Maracana.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Recife H 2–1 W
27 Apr Botafogo FR A 0–2 L
20 Apr EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
16 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–0 W
13 Apr Santos FC H 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
26 Apr Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
19 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
16 Apr RB Bragantino H 0–1 L
13 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–3 L
06 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Fluminense FC have kicked off against SC Recife. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fabio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' SC Recife come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 24' Against the run of play, Pablo Felipe has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and SC Recife are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' Lenny Lobato, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 44' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Agustin Canobbio as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Serna steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' A tactical swap from Fluminense FCNonato on, Hercules off on 55 minutes.
  • 60' What composure from Kevin Serna! The Colombia international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Rodrigo Atencio. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 65' A change in the SC Recife ranks — ze Lucas exits the field as Du Queiroz enters on 65.
  • 70' Ruben Lezcano gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Martinelli and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Du Queiroz has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 76' The referee calls foul for Diogo Hereda. He receives a card.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Lima on 81 minutes.
  • 85' Time for substitution for SC Recife. Pablo Felipe is replaced by Carlos Alberto.
  • 86' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Chrystian Barletta by Arthur on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Guga comes on to replace Samuel Xavier.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC54% Draw26% SC Recife20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
80%
Draw or SC Recife
46%
Fluminense FC or SC Recife
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC34% Draw49% SC Recife17%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
40%
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.