FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 2

Full Time

FK Rubin Kazan

Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL .

FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
FK Rubin Kazan 14 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	14	31
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	14	31
3	FK Spartak Moskva	14	29
4	FK Krasnodar	14	26
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	14	26
6	FK Rostov	14	19
7	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	14	18
8	FK Rubin Kazan	14	18
9	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	14	17
10	FK Orenburg	14	17
11	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	14	16
12	RFK Akhmat Grozny	14	14
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	14	12
14	FK Rodina Moskva	14	12
15	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	14	11
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	14	6

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Rubin Kazan

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-30 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan 2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan 2023-07-30 FK Rubin Kazan 1–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–2	D
22 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	2–2	D
17 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	2–1	W
10 Aug	FK Krasnodar	H	0–1	L
03 Aug	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–3	L
27 Jul	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	1–1	D

FK Rubin Kazan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
23 Aug	FK Spartak Moskva	H	0–2	L
17 Aug	FK Rostov	H	1–0	W
09 Aug	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–5	L
04 Aug	PFK Sochi	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Rubin Kazan
#10	Position	#8
17	Points	18
14	Played	14
3 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	4 / 6 / 4
14	Scored	14
14	Conceded	18
+0	GD	-4
1.21	PPG	1.29
21%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

30% Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Rubin Kazan

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

2/3

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Jordhy Thompson	3 G	3 A
Gedeon Guzina	3 G	1 A
Ruslan Kul	3 G	1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

FK Rubin Kazan

Anderson Arroyo	3 G	1 A
Jacques Siwe	3 G
Bogdan Jocic	1 G
Aleksandar Jukic	1 G
Ilya Rozhkov	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Orenburg and FK Rubin Kazan is underway.
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Rubin Kazan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jimmy Marin	2
Veldin Hodza	2
Evgenii Bashkirov	2
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj	2
Dmitry Vorobyev	1
Aleksei Sutormin	1
Danila Khotulev	1
Mikhail Sivakow	1

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2025-08-30 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan D 2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2025-08-17 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-08-10 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Krasnodar L 2025-08-03 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 3–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-07-27 FK Orenburg 1–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala D

FK Rubin Kazan Form

2025-08-30 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan D 2025-08-23 FK Rubin Kazan 0–2 FK Spartak Moskva L 2025-08-17 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Rostov W 2025-08-09 PFC CSKA Moskva 5–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2025-08-04 FK Rubin Kazan 2–1 PFK Sochi W 2025-07-27 FK Rubin Kazan 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.64 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 FK Rubin Kazan xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg44% Draw27% FK Rubin Kazan29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

71%

Draw or FK Rubin Kazan

56%

FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg33% Draw45% FK Rubin Kazan22%

Actual: FK Rubin Kazan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

1 – 0

8.4%

0 – 0

7.5%

2 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

6.8%

0 – 1

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Rubin Kazan covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.