FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 2

Full Time

FK Rubin Kazan

Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Rubin Kazan — RFPL .

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Rubin Kazan

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-30 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan 2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan 2023-07-30 FK Rubin Kazan 1–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–2	D
22 Aug	RFK Akhmat Grozny	H	2–2	D
17 Aug	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	2–1	W
10 Aug	FK Krasnodar	H	0–1	L
03 Aug	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–3	L
27 Jul	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	1–1	D

FK Rubin Kazan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	FK Orenburg	A	2–2	D
23 Aug	FK Spartak Moskva	H	0–2	L
17 Aug	FK Rostov	H	1–0	W
09 Aug	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	1–5	L
04 Aug	PFK Sochi	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Rubin Kazan
#12	Position	#8
29	Points	43
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	11 / 10 / 9
29	Scored	29
44	Conceded	30
-15	GD	-1
0.97	PPG	1.43
23%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. FK Orenburg host FK Rubin Kazan — let the battle begin!
The points are shared — FK Orenburg 2-2 FK Rubin Kazan. Honours even.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Rubin Kazan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Veldin Hodza	2
Evgenii Bashkirov	2
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj	2
Jimmy Marin	2
Mikhail Sivakow	1
Saeid Saharkhizan	1
Dmitrii Poloz	1
Brian Mansilla	1

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2025-08-30 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan D 2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny D 2025-08-17 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-08-10 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Krasnodar L 2025-08-03 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 3–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-07-27 FK Orenburg 1–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala D

FK Rubin Kazan Form

2025-08-30 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Rubin Kazan D 2025-08-23 FK Rubin Kazan 0–2 FK Spartak Moskva L 2025-08-17 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Rostov W 2025-08-09 PFC CSKA Moskva 5–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2025-08-04 FK Rubin Kazan 2–1 PFK Sochi W 2025-07-27 FK Rubin Kazan 2–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.53 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 FK Rubin Kazan xG

I would bet for: FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg40% Draw27% FK Rubin Kazan33%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.94

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

67%

Draw or FK Rubin Kazan

60%

FK Orenburg or FK Rubin Kazan

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg29% Draw45% FK Rubin Kazan26%

Actual: FK Rubin Kazan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

8.4%

1 – 2

7.7%

1 – 0

7.2%

0 – 0

0 – 1

6.6%

2 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3.7%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Rubin Kazan covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	19%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	18%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.