FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Fakel Voronezh — RFPL at Gazovik Stadium.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Fakel Voronezh 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 2–3 | L |
| 09 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | PFK Sochi | H | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | FK Orenburg | A | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Oct | FK Rostov | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Oct | FK Khimki | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | FK Torpedo Moskva | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | PFK Sochi | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FK Orenburg kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Alihan Shavaev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Fakel Voronezh tonight.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Fakel Voronezh are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' FK Orenburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Fakel Voronezh's shape.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 33' Ruslan Magal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ilnur Alshin on 33 minute.
- 37' The referee has no hesitation. Vladimir Sychevoi is booked for FK Orenburg — Yellow card on 37.
- 39' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Timur Ayupov on 39 minutes.
- 42' Against the run of play, Jimmy Marin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 42' A moment of madness from Evgeny Shlyakov on 42 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FK Fakel Voronezh will be frustrated.
- 43' Jimmy Marin doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 44' GOAL! Jimmy Marin fires home to make it 3-0!
- 46' Maksim Maksimov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 46.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' The Argentina Cesar Florentin breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 4-0!
- 58' Cesar Florentin with the second goal in the match!
- 59' The crowd applauds Andrey Mendel as he leaves the pitch. Alihan Shavaev steps in for FK Fakel Voronezh.
- 60' The referee shows FK Fakel Voronezh player a Yellow card on 60.
- 65' It looks surprising FK Fakel Voronezh does not make any changes. Kirill Suslov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 71' Sergei Bozhin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
- 73' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Vladimir Sychevoi departs to be replaced by Dmitri Vorobyov.
- 74' A change in the FK Fakel Voronezh ranks — Daniil Chernyakov exits the field as Nikita Ershov enters on 74.
- 75' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Braian Mansilla.
- 80' FK Fakel Voronezh are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 83' Braian Mansilla has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 83 minutes.
- 85' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Cesar Florentin exits the field as Stepan Oganesyan enters on 85.
- 87' Magnificent from Maksim Maksimov! That is 6 goals in 48 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a Yellow card on 88.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-1.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Ivan Basic 73'
- 15
- 21
-
5
Timur Ayupov ↓ Kirill Kaplenko 73'
- 23
- 3
- 12
- 77
- 25
- 90
Bench
-
55
Kirill Kaplenko ↑ 73'
- 2
- 17
- 22
- 99
- 38
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 73'
- 11
- 19
-
7
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 85'
-
10
Dmitri Vorobyov ↑ 73'
-
70
Batraz Gurtsyev ↑ 85'
Coach
Marcel Licka
FK Fakel Voronezh Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
5
Evgeny Shlyakov ↓ Vasili Cherov 59'
-
10
Ilnur Alshin ↓ Ruslan Magal 33'
- 47
- 1
- 33
- 15
- 85
- 78
-
18
Andrey Mendel ↓ Alihan Shavaev 59'
- 21
Bench
- 93
- 4
-
28
Ruslan Magal ↑ 33'
-
2
Vasili Cherov ↑ 59'
- 25
- 92
-
8
Alihan Shavaev ↑ 59'
-
56
Matvey Ivakhnov ↑ 74'
-
76
Nikita Ershov ↑ 74'
Coach
Dmitri Pyatibratov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Marin | 3 |
| Braian Mansilla | 2 |
| Cesar Florentin | 2 |
| Aleksandr Ektov | 1 |
| Khyzyr Appaev | 1 |
| Georgy Gongadze | 1 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
| Ilnur Alshin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Fakel Voronezh Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.25
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + FK Orenburg to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
83%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
38%
FK Orenburg or FK Fakel Voronezh
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Fakel Voronezh covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 22% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

