Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 12:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 2–2 D
23 Aug FK Rostov H 3–3 D
16 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 1–1 D
09 Aug FK Spartak Moskva H 4–2 W
02 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–2 W
26 Jul FK Krasnodar A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–2 D
24 Aug FK Krasnodar H 0–6 L
16 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–3 L
09 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 1–1 D
02 Aug FK Rostov A 4–1 W
25 Jul FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–0 W

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
#3 Position #11
53 Points 32
30 Played 30
14 / 11 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 14
54 Scored 35
39 Conceded 50
+15 GD -15
1.77 PPG 1.07
47% Win % 27%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara are 11th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.47 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva52% Draw22% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
74%
Draw or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
48%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Lokomotiv Moskva41% Draw36% PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara23%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 16% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 19% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 13% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
18%
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.