Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Spartak Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 9 Aug 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug FK Spartak Moskva H 4–2 W
02 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod A 3–2 W
26 Jul FK Krasnodar A 2–1 W
19 Jul PFK Sochi H 3–0 W
24 May FK Akron Tolyatti A 4–1 W
19 May PFC CSKA Moskva H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 2–4 L
03 Aug FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D
26 Jul FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 0–3 L
19 Jul FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 1–0 W
24 May FK Khimki H 5–0 W
18 May PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 2–0 W

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva FK Spartak Moskva
#3 Position #4
53 Points 52
30 Played 30
14 / 11 / 5 W / D / L 15 / 7 / 8
54 Scored 47
39 Conceded 39
+15 GD +8
1.77 PPG 1.73
47% Win % 50%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Spartak Moskva are 4th (52 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

FK Spartak Moskva Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 FK Spartak Moskva xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Lokomotiv Moskva53% Draw21% FK Spartak Moskva26%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Spartak Moskva
47%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Spartak Moskva
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva40% Draw37% FK Spartak Moskva23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push FK Spartak Moskva covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 15% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 19% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 14% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
18%
FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.