Saturday , 14 November 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Paphos FC, Champions League Q 2025 PLAYOFFS

Champions League Qualification · 2025
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 – 2
Full Time
Paphos FC
Tue 19 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Marakana HT 45' · FT 45'
Mirko Ivanic 78' Y
Y 87' Bruno Langa

Overview

Match Preview

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Paphos FC — Champions League Q at Marakana.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
10 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
FK Crvena Zvezda 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Paphos FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-19 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–2 Paphos FC

Recent Form

FK Crvena Zvezda
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Paphos FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug KKS Lech Poznań H 1–1 D
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznań A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
Paphos FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W
12 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–0 W
05 Aug FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
30 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 1–0 W
22 Jul Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Crvena Zvezda this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Crvena Zvezda
Marko Arnautovic 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Paphos FC gets underway.
  • 1' Joao Correia puts Paphos FC on the lead.
  • 6' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Crvena Zvezda in their trying to find a way past Paphos FC's compact .
  • 11' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paphos FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 17' Ken Sema is replacing Muamer Tankovic for the Paphos FC side.
  • 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' It looks surprising FK Crvena Zvezda does not make any changes. Kostas Pileas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' Another substitution for FK Crvena Zvezda to replace Peter Olayinka by Bruno Duarte on 32 minute.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Neofytos Michail suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 47' Paphos FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 52' Pepe makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Paphos FC are in front.
  • 57' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 57 minutes.
  • 58' A goal from the Brazil international Bruno Duarte! He fires home on 58 to make it 1-2!
  • 63' Young-woo Seol has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 247 appearances.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mirko Ivanic made 125 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' A tactical swap from FK Crvena Zvezda — Aleksandar Katai on, Mahmudu Bajo off on 69 minutes.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Paphos FC! Bruno Langa comes on to replace Kostas Pileas.
  • 78' Poor challenge from Mirko Ivanic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Paphos FC team. Ken Sema is replaced by Mislav Orsic on 84 minute.
  • 86' FK Crvena Zvezda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Milson is hanging Shavy Warren Babicka on the field on 86 minute.
  • 87' Bruno Langa picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • It finishes all square. FK Crvena Zvezda and Paphos FC share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladan Milojevic

Paphos FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Carlos Carcedo

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Paphos FC xG
I would bet for: FK Crvena Zvezda or Paphos FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Crvena Zvezda33% Draw29% Paphos FC38%
Actual: Paphos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw
62%
Draw or Paphos FC
67%
FK Crvena Zvezda or Paphos FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Crvena Zvezda24% Draw48% Paphos FC28%
Actual: Paphos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
9%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Crvena Zvezda

Handicap FK Crvena Zvezda covers Push Paphos FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Paphos FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.