FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

FC Tokyo

2 – 2

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sat 14 Jun 2025 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tokyo 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-06-14 FC Tokyo 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC 2025-04-20 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 FC Tokyo 2024-12-08 FC Tokyo 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2024-02-24 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 FC Tokyo 2023-08-06 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–2	D
31 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–3	L
25 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–3	L
17 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–3	L
10 May	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jun	FC Tokyo	A	2–2	D
01 Jun	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	4–2	W
28 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D
24 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–0	W
18 May	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–2	L
11 May	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FC Tokyo		Cerezo Osaka FC
#12	Position	#2
37	Points	31
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
55	Scored	48
42	Conceded	38
+13	GD	+10
2.06	PPG	1.72
72%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Ajinomoto Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka FC.
3' Against the run of play, Marcelo Ryan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
8' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
13' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
18' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
23' Ryuya Nishio, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
33' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
38' FC Tokyo are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
41' Brilliant from the ! Rafael Ratao makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 41.
46' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Niko Takahashi comes on to replace Kyohei Noborizato.
51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
56' Niko Takahashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 369 appearances.
57' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Vitor Bueno is replaced by Motohiko Nakajima.
59' FC Tokyo make a change. Soma Anzai trudges off to be replaced by Kota Tawaratsumida on 59 minutes.
60' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 60 minute. Keigo Higashi leaves to be changed by Kein Sato.
65' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Thiago Andrade departs to be replaced by Shion Homma.
66' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Shunta Tanaka on, Shinji Kagawa off on 66 minutes.
71' Sensational shot from Shunta Tanaka. Cerezo Osaka FC is back in the lead.
75' Leon Nozawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Endo on 75 minute.
80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
81' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcelo Ryan makes it 2-2.
84' The crowd applauds Marcelo Ryan as he leaves the pitch. Everton steps in for FC Tokyo.
86' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Rafael Ratao exits the field as Masaya Shibayama enters on 86.
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Starting XI

77
Lucas Fernandes
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Shunta Tanaka 66'
6
Kyohei Noborizato ↓ Niko Takahashi 46'
44
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Masaya Shibayama 86'
5
Hinata Kida
33
Ryuya Nishio
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Motohiko Nakajima 57'
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 65'
16
Hayato Okuda
1
Koki Fukui

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ryoma Watanabe	5
Leandro	4
Diego Oliveira	3
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto	2
Rafael Ratao	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Ryotaro Araki	2

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2025-06-14 FC Tokyo 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-05-31 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tokyo L 2025-05-25 FC Tokyo 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-05-17 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–2 FC Tokyo L 2025-05-10 FC Tokyo 1–0 Vissel Kobe W 2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo W

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2025-06-14 FC Tokyo 2–2 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-06-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2025-05-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2025-05-24 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-05-18 Kawasaki Frontale 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-05-11 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Yokohama F.Marinos W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.46 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.01 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tokyo47% Draw22% Cerezo Osaka FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

69%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

53%

FC Tokyo or Cerezo Osaka FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tokyo38% Draw35% Cerezo Osaka FC27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 1

5.5%

3 – 2

5.5%

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

3.7%

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.4%

4 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	14%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	18%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	9%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.