FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–2 | W |
| 28 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 55 | Scored | 48 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| +13 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Ajinomoto Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Tōkyō and Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 3' A goal from the Brazil international Marcelo Ryan! He fires home on 3 to make it 0-1!
- 8' The 30-year-old Rafael Ratao has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 379 games and scored 404 goals.
- 18' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 23' Japan international Motohiko Nakajima has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 38' Vitor Bueno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 31 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 41' Assisted by Shinji Kagawa with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Ratao makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 46' The whistle greets Kyohei Noborizato as he departs to be replaced by Niko Takahashi.
- 51' Thiago Andrade has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 56' FC Tōkyō have won 416 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Vitor Bueno is withdrawn and Motohiko Nakajima gets his opportunity.
- 59' Another change for FC Tokyo made on 59 minute. Soma Anzai leaves to be changed by Kota Tawaratsumida.
- 60' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Keigo Higashi departs to be replaced by Kein Sato.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Shion Homma. He replaces Thiago Andrade on 65 minute.
- 66' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Shunta Tanaka comes on to replace Shinji Kagawa.
- 71' A goal from the Japan international Shunta Tanaka! He fires home on 71 to make it 0-3!
- 75' Leon Nozawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Endo on 75 minute.
- 80' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 81' Marcelo Ryan doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 84' The crowd applauds Marcelo Ryan as he leaves the pitch. Everton steps in for FC Tokyo.
- 86' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Masaya Shibayama on, Rafael Ratao off on 86 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 2
- 10
- 18
- 99
- 22
- 8
- 4
- 13
- 19
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 33
- 98
- 32
- 28
- 16
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Shunta Tanaka 66'
- 6
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Masaya Shibayama 86'
- 5
- 33
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Motohiko Nakajima 57'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 65'
- 16
- 1
Bench
- 3
- 35
- 14
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 57'
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 66'
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 65'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 86'
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryoma Watanabe | 5 |
| Leandro | 4 |
| Diego Oliveira | 3 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Ryotaro Araki | 2 |
| Shunta Tanaka | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.46
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
53%
FC Tokyo or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 9% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.