FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–2 | W |
| 28 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 55 | Scored | 48 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| +13 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium!
- 3' Marcelo Ryan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 8' Koki Fukui is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
- 13' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 444 games and scored 409 goals.
- 18' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Tōkyō must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 28' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 33' Cerezo Osaka FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 41' GOAL! Rafael Ratao scores on 41. Assisted by Shinji Kagawa
- 46' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Kyohei Noborizato is replaced by Niko Takahashi on 46 minute.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' Kosuke Shirai has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Motohiko Nakajima. He replaces Vitor Bueno on 57 minute.
- 59' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Soma Anzai by Kota Tawaratsumida on 59 minute.
- 60' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Keigo Higashi by Kein Sato on 60 minute.
- 65' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Thiago Andrade trudges off to be replaced by Shion Homma on 65 minutes.
- 66' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Shinji Kagawa is replaced by Shunta Tanaka.
- 71' Shunta Tanaka adds to his 0 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
- 75' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Keita Endo by Leon Nozawa on 75 minute.
- 80' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan fires home to make it 0-4!
- 84' Everton is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcelo Ryan at the 84 minute mark.
- 86' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Rafael Ratao is replaced by Masaya Shibayama on 86 minute.
- 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 2
- 10
- 18
- 99
- 22
- 8
- 4
- 13
- 19
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 33
- 98
- 32
- 28
- 16
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Shunta Tanaka 66'
- 6
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Masaya Shibayama 86'
- 5
- 33
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Motohiko Nakajima 57'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 65'
- 16
- 1
Bench
- 3
- 35
- 14
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 57'
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 66'
- 21
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 65'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 86'
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 46'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryoma Watanabe | 5 |
| Leandro | 4 |
| Diego Oliveira | 3 |
| Shunta Tanaka | 2 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.46
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
69%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
53%
FC Tokyo or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 9% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

