Saturday , 26 September 2026

FC Red Bull Salzburg vs Club Atlético de Madrid, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena 23,389 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Giuliano Simeone
0–2 13' Antoine Griezmann
0–3 45+1' Antoine Griezmann
0–4 63' Marcos Llorente
Adam Daghim 90+1' 1–4

Overview

Match Preview

FC Red Bull Salzburg vs Club Atlético de Madrid — Champions League at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
11 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg A 4–1 W
25 Jan Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
21 Jan Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–1 W
18 Jan CD Leganes A 0–1 L
12 Jan CA Osasuna H 1–0 W
21 Dec FC Barcelona A 2–1 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
Marcos Llorente 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Red Bull Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' What a moment for Giuliano Simeone! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 10' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 13' Against the run of play, Antoine Griezmann has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 18' Supporters expect more eagerness from Oscar Gloukh, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 23' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Red Bull Salzburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 28' FC Red Bull Salzburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Club Atlético de Madrid backline.
  • 33' It looks surprising Club Atlético de Madrid does not make any changes. Hendry Blank has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Club Atlético de Madrid needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Club Atlético de Madrid that had 531 games and scored 628 goals.
  • 46' Antoine Griezmann adds to his 9 season tally! Club Atletico de Madrid lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nicolas Capaldo on 57 minutes.
  • 58' The FC Red Bull Salzburg manager makes a substitution. Nene Dorgeles departs to be replaced by Bobby Clark.
  • 59' The Club Atletico de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Julian Alvarez departs to be replaced by Alexander Sorloth.
  • 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcos Llorente makes it 0-4.
  • 66' A moment of madness from Hendry Blank on 66 minutes earns him a card. FC Red Bull Salzburg will be frustrated.
  • 67' Moussa Kounfolo Yeo makes way for Petar Ratkov at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Red Bull Salzburg.
  • 72' Club Atlético de Madrid come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 77' FC Red Bull Salzburg are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Club Atlético de Madrid's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Club Atletico de Madrid — Thomas Lemar on, Samuel Lino off on 81 minutes.
  • 85' The FC Red Bull Salzburg bench stirs into life. Nicolas Capaldo is withdrawn and Stefan Bajcetic gets his opportunity.
  • 90' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Red Bull Salzburg in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Club Atlético de Madrid's compact 4-4-2.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Club Atlético de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Red Bull Salzburg25% Draw26% Club Atlético de Madrid49%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

FC Red Bull Salzburg or Draw
51%
Draw or Club Atlético de Madrid
75%
FC Red Bull Salzburg or Club Atlético de Madrid
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Red Bull Salzburg19% Draw44% Club Atlético de Madrid37%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Red Bull Salzburg

Handicap FC Red Bull Salzburg covers Push Club Atlético de Madrid covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.