Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Porto vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Mon 15 Dec 2025 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora H 3–1 W
11 Dec Malmo FF H 2–1 W
07 Dec CD Tondela A 2–0 W
30 Nov GD Estoril Praia H 1–0 W
27 Nov OGC Nice H 3–0 W
09 Nov FC Famalicão A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec FC Porto A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Arouca H 3–1 W
30 Nov Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
09 Nov CD Nacional H 1–1 D
01 Nov Casa Pia AC A 5–3 W
25 Oct Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Porto CF Estrela da Amadora
#1 Position #8
21 Points 10
7 Played 7
7 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 1
18 Scored 14
3 Conceded 14
+15 GD +0
3.00 PPG 1.43
100% Win % 29%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
0% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

FC Porto are 1st (21 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 8th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
5/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Porto
Gabriel Veiga 4 G 3 A
Andre Silva 3 G 2 A
Borja Sainz 3 G
William da Silva 2 G 2 A
Nehuen Perez 1 G
CF Estrela da Amadora
Ianis Stoica 4 G 2 A
Abraham Marcus 4 G 1 A
Leandro Antonetti 4 G 1 A
Beni Souza 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.38 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 79% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto79% Draw13% CF Estrela da Amadora8%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 4.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
92%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
21%
FC Porto or CF Estrela da Amadora
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto65% Draw28% CF Estrela da Amadora7%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.4%
4 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7%
4 – 1
6.5%
5 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 1
4.8%
5 – 1
4.4%
6 – 0
3.2%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 48% — 52%
-2 48% 20% 32%
-1.5 68% — 32%
-1 68% 16% 16%
-0.5 84% — 16%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.