Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Porto vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Champions League 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

Tue 4 Oct 2022 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Champions League at Estadio Do Dragao.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee Lee Betts
  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Referee Gary Beswick
  • Referee Fedayi San
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
FC Porto 3 games · Avg 3.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–0 W
30 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga H 4–1 W
17 Sep GD Estoril Praia A 1–1 D
13 Sep Club Brugge KV H 0–4 L
10 Sep GD Chaves H 3–0 W
07 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct FC Porto A 0–2 L
30 Sep FC Bayern Munchen A 0–4 L
17 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
13 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–0 W
10 Sep Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
07 Sep Club Brugge KV A 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto52% Draw26% Bayer 04 Leverkusen22%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
77%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
48%
FC Porto or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto36% Draw45% Bayer 04 Leverkusen19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.