Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Lorient vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
5 0
Full Time
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Moustoir HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Pau FCLigue 2 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Lorient 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Pau FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Pau FC H 5–0 W
29 Mar Grenoble Foot 38 A 2–1 W
15 Mar SC Bastia H 4–0 W
08 Mar Paris FC A 2–3 L
01 Mar Rodez Aveyron Football H 3–1 W
22 Feb Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr FC Lorient A 0–5 L
28 Mar FC Annecy H 1–0 W
14 Mar FC Martigues A 2–2 D
07 Mar ES Troyes AC H 0–2 L
28 Feb Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–0 W
22 Feb SM Caen A 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Lorient to score. At the same time, Pau FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' FC Lorient is showing some good football. However, FC Lorient are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 11' Goal! Eli Kroupi scores his 30 goal in 434 matches.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yvon Mvogo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' Pau FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 26.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohamed Bamba, as he is very good at scoring at Stade du Moustoir with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' The travelling Pau FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Lorient needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' Eli Kroupi with the second goal in the match!
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mamady Bangre made 420 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' The FC Lorient manager makes a substitution. Mohamed Bamba departs to be replaced by Aiyegun Tosin.
  • 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Lorient that had 434 games and scored 384 goals.
  • 72' FC Lorient manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Julien Ponceau is hanging Joel Mvuka on the field on 72 minute.
  • 75' What a strike from Julien Laporte! The score is 3-0.
  • 80' Goal! Julien Ponceau scores his 12 goal in 434 matches.
  • 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for FC Lorient.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.24 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: FC Lorient to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient63% Draw21% Pau FC16%
Actual: FC Lorient win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
85%
Draw or Pau FC
37%
FC Lorient or Pau FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient48% Draw40% Pau FC12%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6%
4 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 23% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
43%
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.