FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2017

Refresh

1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

FC Erzgebirge Aue

2 – 1

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Fri 17 Nov 2017 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 4.20

Draw 3.89

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.80

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 6 games · Avg 3.8 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2017-11-17 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-04-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2015-11-29 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-02-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2014-09-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–1	W
04 Nov	TuS Dassendorf	A	1–3	L
29 Oct	Hamburger SV	H	3–0	W
25 Oct	BSG Chemie Leipzig	A	3–1	W
21 Oct	TuS Erndtebruck	A	0–1	L
13 Oct	Karlsruher SC	H	2–1	W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Nov	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	1–2	L
04 Nov	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–3	L
28 Oct	1. FC Nürnberg	A	2–4	L
24 Oct	GD Chaves	A	5–0	W
21 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–2	D
14 Oct	TuS Erndtebruck	H	2–3	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. FC Erzgebirge Aue get us underway at .
With this win, FC Erzgebirge Aue is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2017-11-17 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2017-11-04 TuS Dassendorf 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-10-29 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–0 Hamburger SV W 2017-10-25 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2017-10-21 TuS Erndtebruck 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-10-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Karlsruher SC W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2017-11-17 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2017-11-04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg L 2017-10-28 1. FC Nürnberg 4–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2017-10-24 GD Chaves 0–5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2017-10-21 FC Hansa Rostock 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2017-10-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 TuS Erndtebruck L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.63 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 75% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue44% Draw25% Bayer 04 Leverkusen31%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

69%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

56%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue30% Draw43% Bayer 04 Leverkusen27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 0

6.2%

0 – 0

5.9%

0 – 1

5.7%

2 – 0

5.6%

0 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.5%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	19%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	18%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.