Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburger SV, 2017

1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017
Sun 29 Oct 2017 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 1.83
Draw 3.50
Hamburger SV 4.50

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Hamburger SV H 3–0 W
25 Oct BSG Chemie Leipzig A 3–1 W
21 Oct TuS Erndtebruck A 0–1 L
13 Oct Karlsruher SC H 2–1 W
30 Sep FC Hansa Rostock A 1–2 L
23 Sep MSV Duisburg H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct FC Erzgebirge Aue A 0–3 L
25 Oct FC Rot-Weiss Koblenz H 3–1 W
22 Oct SV Sandhausen 1916 H 1–1 D
14 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–5 L
01 Oct SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen H 3–2 W
23 Sep Wroxham FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.04 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Erzgebirge Aue63% Draw22% Hamburger SV15%
Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw
85%
Draw or Hamburger SV
37%
FC Erzgebirge Aue or Hamburger SV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Erzgebirge Aue46% Draw42% Hamburger SV12%
Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.2%
1 – 0
11.6%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap FC Erzgebirge Aue covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 24% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
46%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.