FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2014

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1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014

FC Erzgebirge Aue

2 – 3

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Fri 20 Feb 2015 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 6.00

Draw 4.00

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.57

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 6 games · Avg 3.8 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2015-02-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2014-09-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L
14 Feb	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	1–2	L
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–2	L
04 Feb	Karlsruher SC	A	0–0	D
31 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–1	L
20 Dec	CD Santa Clara	H	0–0	D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Feb	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	3–2	W
13 Feb	SV Linx 1949	H	4–2	W
07 Feb	Hamburger SV	A	3–0	W
04 Feb	MSV Duisburg	H	0–1	L
31 Jan	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–0	D
20 Dec	Wroxham FC	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Erzgebirge Aue to score. At the same time, Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.33 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue30% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen43%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

57%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

70%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

73%

Half-Time Result

FC Erzgebirge Aue24% Draw44% Bayer 04 Leverkusen32%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12%

1 – 2

8.8%

0 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

7.1%

0 – 0

6.8%

0 – 2

6.8%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

4.5%

0 – 3

3.7%

2 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	20%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.