Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 CONFERENCE QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Talen Energy Stadium.
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jeremy Hanson
- Referee Chris Penso
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 4–3 | W |
| 06 Oct | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 50 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 16 |
| 66 | Scored | 48 |
| 52 | Conceded | 62 |
| +14 | GD | -14 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls get this one started.
- 5' It looks surprising Philadelphia Union does not make any changes. Andre Blake has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 6' What a strike from Josh Sims! The score is 0-1.
- 11' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
- 16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
- 21' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 24' Magnificent from Tim Parker! That is 13 goals in 302 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 29' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Josh Sims departs to be replaced by Alex Muyl.
- 30' Against the run of play, Alejandro Bedoya has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' A moment of madness from Jamiro on 36 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
- 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 302 games and scored 443 goals.
- 49' Tom Barlow makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
- 52' A stunning finish from Jack Elliott — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 58' Alejandro Bedoya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 58.
- 62' Ilsinho gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Andrew Wooten and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' Sergio Santos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 34 goals in his last 305 appearances.
- 70' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Alejandro Romero Gamarra is withdrawn and Sean Davis gets his opportunity.
- 72' Philadelphia Union make a change. Brenden Aaronson trudges off to be replaced by Fafa Picault on 72 minutes.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' The deadlock is broken! Fafa Picault gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
- 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 84' Tom Barlow makes way for Bradley Wright-Phillips at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 89' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- The points are shared — Philadelphia Union 4-3 New York Red Bulls. Honours even.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 35
-
7
Andrew Wooten ↓ Ilsinho 62'
- 27
- 18
- 3
- 6
- 11
- 28
- 4
-
22
Brenden Aaronson ↓ Fafa Picault 72'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Marco Fabian 103'
Bench
-
10
Marco Fabian ↑ 103'
- 78
-
2
Warren Creavalle ↑ 112'
-
9
Fafa Picault ↑ 72'
-
25
Ilsinho ↑ 62'
- 12
- 32
Coach
Jim Curtin
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 90
-
10
Kaku ↓ Sean Davis 70'
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Brian White 97'
- 33
- 31
- 26
- 92
- 23
- 91
- 74
Bench
-
99
Bradley Wright-Phillips ↑ 84'
-
27
Sean Davis ↑ 70'
- 5
- 18
-
19
Alex Muyl ↑ 29'
-
42
Brian White ↑ 97'
- 15
Coach
Chris Armas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Patryk Klimala | 3 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Indiana Vassilev | 2 |
| Kacper Przybylko | 2 |
| Milan Iloski | 2 |
| Ilsinho | 2 |
| Neil Pierre | 2 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
W
2019-10-06
Philadelphia Union
1–2
New York City FC
L
2019-09-29
Columbus Crew SC
2–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2019-09-26
San Jose Earthquakes
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-09-22
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2019-09-14
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Los Angeles FC
D
New York Red Bulls Form
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-10-06
Montreal Impact FC
3–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-09-29
New York Red Bulls
0–0
D.C. United SC
D
2019-09-22
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-09-19
Portland Timbers
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2019-09-15
Seattle Sounders FC
4–2
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.37
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
75%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
47%
Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 20% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

