Wednesday , 1 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact FCMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Filip Dujic (USA)
6 games this season 🟨 3.2/game 13.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Minnesota United FC A 0–1 L
21 Feb Atlanta United FC H 2–0 W
18 Oct Montreal Impact FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar FC Cincinnati A 3–4 L
14 Mar Orlando City SC A 1–2 L
08 Mar New York Red Bulls A 3–0 W
28 Feb Chicago Fire FC A 0–3 L
22 Feb San Diego FC A 0–5 L
18 Oct FC Cincinnati A 0–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Montreal Impact FC
#7 Position #12
20 Points 14
15 Played 14
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 8
36 Scored 22
37 Conceded 31
-1 GD -9
1.33 PPG 1.00
33% Win % 29%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
79% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
36% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/1
61-75
/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Montreal Impact FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.27 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati63% Draw18% Montreal Impact FC19%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 5.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 73%
27%
± 4.5 56%
44%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
81%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
37%
FC Cincinnati or Montreal Impact FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati50% Draw31% Montreal Impact FC19%
Actual: Montreal Impact FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.7%
1 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.5%
5 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5 29% 71%
-2 29% 17% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 18% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 10% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
5%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.