Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Arouca vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Municipal de Arouca HT 45' · FT 45'
Taichi Fukui 20' 1–0
1–1 65' Rony Lopes
Alfonso Trezza 77' 2–1
Hyun-Ju Lee 85' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs CD Tondela — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May CD Tondela H 3–1 W
11 May Gil Vicente FC A 3–1 W
02 May CD Santa Clara H 2–2 D
24 Apr FC Alverca A 1–2 L
19 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May FC Arouca A 1–3 L
11 May Moreirense FC H 2–0 W
03 May Casa Pia AC A 1–0 W
29 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–2 D
25 Apr CD Nacional H 0–2 L
19 Apr FC Porto A 0–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. FC Arouca host CD Tondela — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Espen van Ee, as he is very good at scoring at Municipal de Arouca with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Arouca in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CD Tondela's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 20' A goal from the Japan international Taichi Fukui! He fires home on 20 to make it 1-0!
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Makan Aiko is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CD Tondela so far.
  • 39' Omar Fayed catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
  • 41' That is a card for CD Tondela. Rodrigo Conceicao will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' FC Arouca are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against CD Tondela's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 65' Rodrigo Conceicao is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 70' Juan Rodriguez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 75' CD Tondela come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 77' Magnificent from Alfonso Trezza! That is 7 goals in 16 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 81' Controversy at the stadium! Hyun-Ju Lee argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' Hyun-Ju Lee adds to his 0 season tally! FC Arouca lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • CD Tondela will have plenty to reflect on. FC Arouca were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca51% Draw25% CD Tondela24%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
76%
Draw or CD Tondela
49%
FC Arouca or CD Tondela
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca35% Draw45% CD Tondela20%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.