Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 8,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Promise Omochere
Jack Fitzwater 72' 1–1
Millenic Alli 78' 2–1
Amani Richards 90+6' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua
  • Assistant 2 Steven Plane
7 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 3–1 W
21 Dec Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
14 Dec Barnsley FC H 1–2 L
07 Dec Stockport County FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
30 Nov Chesterfield FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Exeter City FC A 1–3 L
21 Dec Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
14 Dec Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov Barnsley FC A 4–3 W
26 Nov Blackpool FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Exeter City FC and Bristol Rovers FC get this one started.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Exeter City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Exeter City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 13' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ilmari Niskanen.
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Exeter City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' Exeter City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Bristol Rovers FC's shape.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Kamil Conteh.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamie Lindsay suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 44' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin McDonald argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 49' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Bristol Rovers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' Wales international James Wilson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 61' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Promise Omochere makes it 0-1.
  • 66' Josh Magennis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' The Exeter City FC manager makes a substitution. Kevin McDonald departs to be replaced by Kami Doyle.
  • 68' Controversy at the stadium! Jamie Lindsay argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' Jack Fitzwater makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Exeter City FC are in front.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Bristol Rovers FC — Taylor Moore on, Joel Senior off on 74 minutes.
  • 77' Another substitution for Exeter City FC to replace Caleb Watts by Vincent Harper on 77 minute.
  • 78' Millenic Alli adds to his 0 season tally! Exeter City FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 81' Another change for Bristol Rovers FC made on 81 minute. Jamie Lindsay leaves to be changed by Luke McCormick.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Bristol Rovers FC. Shaqai Forde is replaced by Chris Martin.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' The whistle greets Ryan Woods as he departs to be replaced by Ben Purrington.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Exeter City FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.82 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC53% Draw24% Bristol Rovers FC23%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
47%
Exeter City FC or Bristol Rovers FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC37% Draw43% Bristol Rovers FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.