Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC — FA Cup at St. James Park.
- Exeter City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Oxford United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Scott Oldham
- Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
- Assistant 2 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Oxford United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jan | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Dec | Crawley Town FC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 26 Dec | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Dec | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Exeter City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Cardiff City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Dec | Leeds United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
67%
Clean Sheets
Exeter City FC this season
Exeter City FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season
Oxford United FC this season
Top Scorers (This Season)
Exeter City FC
| Jack Aitchison | 2 G |
| Jayden Wareham | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to St. James Park that hosts another battle between Exeter City FC and Oxford United FC.
- 5' Matt Ingram is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Exeter City FC tonight.
- 10' Oxford United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 14' Magnificent from Matt Phillips! That is 29 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 19' Tristan Crama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 22' Against the run of play, Demetri Mitchell has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 32' The 29-year-old Siriki Dembele has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' GOAL! Demetri Mitchell fires home to make it 2-1!
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' The Exeter City FC manager makes a substitution. Johnly Yfeko departs to be replaced by Ed Francis.
- 51' Oxford United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Caleb Watts is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Exeter City FC so far.
- 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Exeter City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 64' Magnificent from Vincent Harper! That is 3 goals in 198 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 64' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Tyler Goodrham comes on to replace Idris El Mizouni.
- 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Exeter City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 70' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Matt Phillips exits the field as Peter Kioso enters on 70.
- 71' Dane Scarlett picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 75' A tactical swap from Exeter City FC — Patrick Jones on, Demetri Mitchell off on 75 minutes.
- 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 81' Tyler Goodrham has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
- 82' Exeter City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Louie Sibley.
- 86' Jake Richards makes way for Kevin McDonald at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
- 89' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Siriki Dembele exits the field as Marselino Ferdinan enters on 89.
- 90' The referee shows Oxford United FC player a card on 90.
- With this win, Exeter City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Exeter City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 27
- 5
- 7
- 2
- 4
- 18
- 1
-
15
Johnly Yfeko ↓ Ed Francis 46'
- 17
-
47
Jake Richards ↓ Kevin McDonald 86'
Bench
- 31
-
28
Kevin McDonald ↑ 86'
- 14
- 37
- 10
-
8
Ed Francis ↑ 46'
-
16
Patrick Jones ↑ 75'
- 20
- 11
Coach
Gary Caldwell
Oxford United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Matt Phillips ↓ Peter Kioso 70'
- 34
- 21
-
6
Josh McEachran ↓ Alex Matos 64'
- 2
- 23
- 24
- 15
- 14
- 44
- 22
Bench
- 3
- 4
- 1
- 20
-
7
Przemyslaw Placheta ↑ 70'
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 64'
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 70'
-
–
Alex Matos ↑ 64'
-
28
Marselino Ferdinan ↑ 89'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cameron Brannagan | 4 |
| Demetri Mitchell | 2 |
| Kyle Joseph | 2 |
| Ruben Rodrigues | 1 |
| Mark Harris | 1 |
| Millenic Alli | 1 |
| Matt Phillips | 1 |
| Sam Long | 1 |
Head to Head
Exeter City FC Form
2025-01-11
Exeter City FC
3–1
Oxford United FC
W
2025-01-04
Exeter City FC
1–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2025-01-01
Wycombe Wanderers FC
2–1
Exeter City FC
L
2024-12-29
Exeter City FC
4–4
Crawley Town FC
D
2024-12-26
Exeter City FC
3–1
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2024-12-21
Burton Albion FC
1–2
Exeter City FC
W
Oxford United FC Form
2025-01-11
Exeter City FC
3–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-01-04
Preston North End FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-01-01
Millwall FC
0–1
Oxford United FC
W
2024-12-29
Oxford United FC
2–0
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2024-12-26
Oxford United FC
3–2
Cardiff City FC
W
2024-12-21
Leeds United FC
4–0
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Exeter City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Exeter City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Oxford United FC
56%
Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Exeter City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC
| Handicap | Exeter City FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

