Sunday , 16 August 2026

Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,149 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Matt Phillips
Demetri Mitchell 22' 1–1
Demetri Mitchell 40' 2–1
Vincent Harper 64' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Oxford United FCFA Cup at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Scott Oldham
  • Assistant 1 Grant Taylor
  • Assistant 2 Dumitru-Ravel Cheosiaua

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–1 W
04 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Crawley Town FC H 4–4 D
26 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 3–1 W
21 Dec Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–3 L
04 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–0 W
26 Dec Cardiff City FC H 3–2 W
21 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Exeter City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Exeter City FC
Jack Aitchison 2 G
Jayden Wareham 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to St. James Park that hosts another battle between Exeter City FC and Oxford United FC.
  • 5' Matt Ingram is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Exeter City FC tonight.
  • 10' Oxford United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 14' Magnificent from Matt Phillips! That is 29 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 19' Tristan Crama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Demetri Mitchell has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' The 29-year-old Siriki Dembele has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' GOAL! Demetri Mitchell fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The Exeter City FC manager makes a substitution. Johnly Yfeko departs to be replaced by Ed Francis.
  • 51' Oxford United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Caleb Watts is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Exeter City FC so far.
  • 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Exeter City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 64' Magnificent from Vincent Harper! That is 3 goals in 198 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Tyler Goodrham comes on to replace Idris El Mizouni.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Exeter City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Matt Phillips exits the field as Peter Kioso enters on 70.
  • 71' Dane Scarlett picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Exeter City FCPatrick Jones on, Demetri Mitchell off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 81' Tyler Goodrham has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 81.
  • 82' Exeter City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Louie Sibley.
  • 86' Jake Richards makes way for Kevin McDonald at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Exeter City FC.
  • 89' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Siriki Dembele exits the field as Marselino Ferdinan enters on 89.
  • 90' The referee shows Oxford United FC player a card on 90.
  • With this win, Exeter City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC44% Draw26% Oxford United FC30%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Oxford United FC
56%
Exeter City FC or Oxford United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC32% Draw44% Oxford United FC24%
Actual: Exeter City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.