Friday , 2 October 2026

Exeter City FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2024-25
Tue 11 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC St. James Park 8,330 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Magennis 5' 1–0
1–1 15' Ramon Sosa
1–2 37' Taiwo Awoniyi
Josh Magennis 50' 2–2
Ed Turns 87' R
Y 105' Neco Williams
Tony Yogane 115' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — FA Cup at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Alex James (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Exeter City FC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 2–4 L
01 Feb Stevenage FC A 1–4 L
28 Jan Leyton Orient FC H 2–6 L
25 Jan Blackpool FC H 1–3 L
21 Jan Peterborough United FC A 1–1 D
18 Jan Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Exeter City FC A 4–2 W
01 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 7–0 W
25 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 0–5 L
19 Jan Southampton FC H 3–2 W
14 Jan Liverpool FC H 1–1 D
11 Jan Luton Town FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Exeter City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Exeter City FC
Jack Aitchison 2 G
Jayden Wareham 2 G
Nottingham Forest FC
Callum Hudson-Odoi 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.85 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC30% Draw23% Nottingham Forest FC47%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
70%
Exeter City FC or Nottingham Forest FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC25% Draw36% Nottingham Forest FC39%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 14% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.