Sunday , 16 August 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,930 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ethan Laird 45+2' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Exeter City FCLeague One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Burton Albion FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
11 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–1 W
04 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Crawley Town FC H 4–4 D
26 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at St Andrew's Ground as Birmingham City FC face off against Exeter City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks surprising Exeter City FC does not make any changes. Jack Aitchison has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Exeter City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Woods on 12.
  • 17' Birmingham City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Exeter City FC backline.
  • 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ethan Laird made 409 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' Jack McMillan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
  • 36' Marc Leonard was booked on 36.
  • 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' Christoph Klarer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 47' Ethan Laird puts Birmingham City FC on the lead.
  • 52' Caleb Watts picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 62' Ayumu Yokoyama is replacing Jay Stansfield for the Birmingham City FC side.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Birmingham City FC. Scott Wright is replaced by Lyndon Dykes.
  • 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Vincent Harper is booked for Exeter City FC — card on 69.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Exeter City FCJack Aitchison on, Millenic Alli off on 73 minutes.
  • 78' It’s high time Gary Caldwell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Birmingham City FC! Krystian Bielik comes on to replace Alfie May.
  • 90' Jack McMillan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Exeter City FC team. Vincent Harper is replaced by Ilmari Niskanen on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — Birmingham City FC 1-0 Exeter City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC56% Draw28% Exeter City FC16%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Exeter City FC
44%
Birmingham City FC or Exeter City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC35% Draw53% Exeter City FC12%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
12.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 27% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
53%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.