Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 25,930 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ethan Laird 45+2' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
  • Assistant 2
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Exeter City FC H 1–0 W
11 Jan Lincoln City FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Blackpool FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Burton Albion FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
11 Jan Oxford United FC H 3–1 W
04 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Crawley Town FC H 4–4 D
26 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC56% Draw28% Exeter City FC16%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Exeter City FC
44%
Birmingham City FC or Exeter City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC35% Draw53% Exeter City FC12%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
12.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
2.6%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 27% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.