Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC St. James Park 6,420 HT 45' · FT 45'
Reece Cole 57' 1–0
Sonny Cox 77' 2–0
2–1 86' Daniel Butterworth

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at St. James Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
  • Assistant 2
5 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 6.6 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Reading FC A 2–3 L
29 Dec Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Stevenage FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
23 Dec Cheltenham Town FC H 0–1 L
16 Dec Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at St. James Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee shows Exeter City FC player a card on 5.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Exeter City FC that had 198 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dion Rankine suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Taylor Charters has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' Exeter City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Reece Cole makes it 1-0.
  • 62' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 62 minute. Jack Robinson leaves to be changed by Alfie McCalmont.
  • 64' That is a card for Carlisle United FC. Harrison Neal will be fuming at that decision.
  • 67' Zak Jules catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
  • 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. Exeter City FC and Carlisle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Taylor Charters as he leaves the pitch. Joe Garner steps in for Carlisle United FC.
  • 75' The Exeter City FC manager makes a substitution. Zak Jules departs to be replaced by Ilmari Niskanen.
  • 77' GOAL! Sonny Cox scores on 77.
  • 78' Yanic Wildschut is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sonny Cox at the 78 minute mark.
  • 79' Exeter City FC make a change. Tom Carroll trudges off to be replaced by Kyle Taylor on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Cheick Diabate needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 10 Yellow cards this season.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Carlisle United FC team. Josh Emmanuel is replaced by Dylan McGeouch on 85 minute.
  • 86' Daniel Butterworth does the damage! The net is bulging and Carlisle United FC surge ahead!
  • 88' Time for substitution for Exeter City FC. Dion Rankine is replaced by James Scott.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Yanic Wildschut. He receives a card.
  • 2-1 the final result. Carlisle United FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC54% Draw27% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
46%
Exeter City FC or Carlisle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC36% Draw50% Carlisle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.