Thursday , 2 July 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Northampton Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 16 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 6,744 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Shaun McWilliams
Jack Armer 67' 1–1
Ryan Edmondson 81' 2–1
2–2 90+3' Kieron Bowie

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Northampton Town FCLeague One at Brunton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Middleton
  • Assistant 1 Jake Topp (England)
  • Assistant 2 Graeme Fyvie

Head-to-Head

1
1
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Northampton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Northampton Town FC H 2–2 D
09 Dec Blackpool FC A 0–3 L
28 Nov Reading FC A 1–5 L
25 Nov Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
11 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Dec Carlisle United FC A 2–2 D
09 Dec Fleetwood Town FC H 3–0 W
02 Dec Portsmouth FC H 0–3 L
28 Nov Blackpool FC A 2–1 W
25 Nov Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W
11 Nov Burton Albion FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Brunton Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luke Plange, as he is very good at scoring at Brunton Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Carlisle United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Northampton Town FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shaun McWilliams on 30.
  • 34' Patrick Brough was booked on 34.
  • 39' The travelling Northampton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 49' Patrick Brough needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 54' Carlisle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Northampton Town FC that had 191 games and scored 158 goals.
  • 64' Another substitution for Carlisle United FC to replace Joe Garner by Ryan Edmondson on 64 minute.
  • 67' What an equalizer from Jack Armer!
  • 69' It’s gonna be a card for Kieron Bowie.
  • 74' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
  • 75' Aaron McGowan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akin Odimayo on 75 minute.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aaron McGowan made 106 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' Sensational shot from Ryan Edmondson. Carlisle United FC is back in the lead.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Sean Maguire. He replaces Dylan McGeouch on 86 minute.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Northampton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Carlisle United FC or Northampton Town FC 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC37% Draw28% Northampton Town FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Northampton Town FC
63%
Carlisle United FC or Northampton Town FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC28% Draw45% Northampton Town FC27%
Actual: Northampton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Northampton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.