Ecuador vs Brazil, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ecuador vs Brazil — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin as Ecuador face off against Brazil in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Ecuador currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Brazil are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Ecuador side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 17' Angel Mena is ready to make an impact after coming on for Moises Caicedo at the 17 minute mark.
- 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ecuador and Brazil are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 27' Everton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 54 goals in his last 327 appearances.
- 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Brazil that had 31 games and scored 59 goals.
- 37' Eder Militao makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Brazil are in front.
- 42' Piero Hincapie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 47' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jhegson Mendez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ecuador.
- 49' The supporters are chanting for Danilo. He replaces Renan Lodi on 49 minute.
- 53' Magnificent from Angel Mena! That is 2 goals in 15 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 58' Alisson Becker has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 63' Vinicius Junior gets the nod from Brazil. He replaces Roberto Firmino and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 72' Time for substitution for Ecuador. Diego Palacios is replaced by Gonzalo Plata.
- 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 78' Richarlison has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everton on 78 minute.
- 83' Ecuador receives a card for a hard tackle on 83.
- 83' It is a substitution in Ecuador team. Enner Valencia is replaced by Leonardo Campana on 83 minute.
- 84' It is a substitution in Ecuador team. Ayrton Preciado is replaced by Mario Pineida on 84 minute.
- 89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Ecuador and Brazil are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Ecuador 1-1 Brazil.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 17
- 13
- 16
- 1
- 20
- 15
- 4
- 25
- 14
- 21
Bench
- 11
- 12
- 7
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 8
- 3
- 10
- 18
- 5
- 6
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 27
- 7
- 20
- 18
- 13
- 17
- 21
- 3
- 23
- 1
Bench
- 6
- 22
- 14
- 19
- 12
- 15
- 9
- 26
- 16
- 2
- 11
- 8
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Brazil xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Brazil 69% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
67%
Draw or Brazil
63%
Ecuador or Brazil
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ecuador win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Brazil covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Brazil keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.