Ecuador vs Brazil, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ecuador vs Brazil — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Ecuador is hosting Brazil for another epic battle.
- 5' It looks surprising Brazil does not make any changes. Hernan Galindez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Brazil is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 17' It is a substitution in Ecuador team. Moises Caicedo is replaced by Angel Mena on 17 minute.
- 22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Paqueta, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Brazil that had 27 games and scored 50 goals.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' Goal! Eder Militao scores his 20 goal in 491 matches.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 47' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 47 minutes.
- 49' Another change for Brazil made on 49 minute. Renan Lodi leaves to be changed by Danilo.
- 53' What an equalizer from Angel Mena!
- 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 63' Another substitution for Brazil to replace Roberto Firmino by Vinicius Junior on 63 minute.
- 68' Brazil started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
- 72' Another substitution for Ecuador to replace Diego Palacios by Gonzalo Plata on 72 minute.
- 77' Robert Arboleda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' Another substitution for Brazil to replace Everton by Richarlison on 78 minute.
- 83' The referee shows Ecuador player a card on 83.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Leonardo Campana. He replaces Enner Valencia on 83 minute.
- 84' The Ecuador manager makes a substitution. Ayrton Preciado departs to be replaced by Mario Pineida.
- 89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 17
- 13
- 16
- 1
- 20
- 15
- 4
- 25
- 14
- 21
Bench
- 11
- 12
- 7
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 8
- 3
- 10
- 18
- 5
- 6
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 27
- 7
- 20
- 18
- 13
- 17
- 21
- 3
- 23
- 1
Bench
- 6
- 22
- 14
- 19
- 12
- 15
- 9
- 26
- 16
- 2
- 11
- 8
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Brazil xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Brazil 69% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
67%
Draw or Brazil
63%
Ecuador or Brazil
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ecuador win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Brazil covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Brazil keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.