Ecuador vs Peru, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ecuador vs Peru — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Atanasio Girardot will turn into a battlefield for Ecuador and Peru.
- 5' Ayrton Preciado has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Peru that had 18 games and scored 20 goals.
- 15' Santiago Ormeno, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aldo Corzo suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' Renato Tapia is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 38' Jhegson Mendez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Peru tonight.
- 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Ayrton Preciado gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 49' What composure from Gianluca Lapadula! The Peru international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 54' Andre Carrillo does the damage! The net is bulging and Peru surge ahead!
- 57' Piero Hincapie catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
- 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 64' A change in the Ecuador ranks — Leonardo Campana exits the field as Michael Estrada enters on 64.
- 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ecuador needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Ecuador is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 78' Fresh legs for Peru! Santiago Ormeno comes on to replace Gianluca Lapadula.
- 81' Ecuador ring the changes. Jhegson Mendez has done his job and it is now time for Christian Noboa to step up.
- 82' Jordy Caicedo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alan Franco at the 82 minute mark.
- 86' The Peru manager makes a substitution. Christian Cueva departs to be replaced by Miguel Araujo.
- 88' Christian Ramos was booked on 88.
- 90' A change in the Ecuador ranks — Ayrton Preciado exits the field as Fidel Martinez enters on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 20
- 18
- 17
- 9
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Jordy Caicedo 82'
- 3
- 23
- 1
-
10
Damian Diaz ↓ Angel Mena 64'
Bench
-
6
Christian Noboa ↑ 81'
- 22
- 14
- 12
-
15
Angel Mena ↑ 64'
-
26
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 82'
- 16
- 2
-
11
Michael Estrada ↑ 64'
-
8
Fidel Martinez ↑ 90'
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 9
-
8
Sergio Pena ↓ Wilder Cartagena 78'
-
10
Christian Cueva ↓ Miguel Araujo 86'
-
19
Yoshimar Yotun ↓ Luis Iberico 90'
- 15
- 18
- 1
- 22
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 2
-
5
Miguel Araujo ↑ 86'
- 4
-
14
Wilder Cartagena ↑ 78'
- 16
- 12
- 24
-
17
Luis Iberico ↑ 90'
- 11
- 26
-
20
Santiago Ormeno ↑ 78'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gianluca Lapadula | 1 |
| Andre Carrillo | 1 |
| Renato Tapia | 1 |
| Ayrton Preciado | 1 |
Head to Head
Ecuador Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
Peru xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Peru 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
67%
Draw or Peru
61%
Ecuador or Peru
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ecuador win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Peru covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Peru keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.