Brazil vs Peru, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Brazil vs Peru — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Brazil welcome Peru for this crunch clash at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Peru come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 12' Alex Sandro does the damage! The net is bulging and Brazil surge ahead!
- 17' Thiago Silva is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for Peru tonight.
- 22' Peru have won 20 goals from 18 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 23' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Christian Ramos.
- 28' Brazil currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 33' Christian Ramos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 44' Yoshimar Yotun catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
- 46' Another substitution for Brazil to replace Gabriel Barbosa by Richarlison on 46 minute.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Brazil and Peru are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 59' The referee shows Brazil player a card on 59.
- 64' Neymar, a Brazil , has 57 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 67' A change in the Peru ranks — Sergio Pena exits the field as Luis Iberico enters on 67.
- 68' What composure from Neymar Jr.! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 72' The crowd applauds Gabriel Jesus as he leaves the pitch. Roberto Firmino steps in for Brazil.
- 74' It is a substitution in Peru team. Christian Cueva is replaced by Gerald Tavara on 74 minute.
- 77' Renan Lodi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Sandro on 77 minute.
- 82' The referee shows Peru player a card on 82.
- 84' Emerson Royal is replacing Danilo for the Brazil side.
- 89' Against the run of play, Everton Ribeiro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Brazil to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 9
- 8
- 10
- 19
- 15
- 2
- 18
- 1
- 16
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 5
- 4
- 22
- 12
- 23
- 7
- 25
- 24
- 17
- 11
- 26
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 15
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 8
- 3
- 10
- 6
- 14
- 21
Bench
- 17
- 11
- 13
- 16
- 12
- 1
- 20
- 7
- 4
- 25
- 18
- 5
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 2 |
| Richarlison | 2 |
| Alex Sandro | 1 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 1 |
| Roberto Firmino | 1 |
| Willian | 1 |
| Dani Alves | 1 |
| Casemiro | 1 |
Brazil Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.18
Brazil xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Peru xG
I would bet for:
Brazil to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brazil win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Brazil or Draw
87%
Draw or Peru
33%
Brazil or Peru
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brazil win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.4%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Brazil
| Handicap | Brazil covers | Push | Peru covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Brazil keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Peru keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.