Brazil vs Peru, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Brazil vs Peru — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Brazil kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The travelling Peru supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Peru have won 20 goals from 18 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 12' What a strike from Alex Sandro! The score is 1-0.
- 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 23' Peru receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' Gianluca Lapadula needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
- 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danilo Luiz da Silva made 438 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 44' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yoshimar Yotun.
- 46' Another change for Brazil made on 46 minute. Gabriel Barbosa leaves to be changed by Richarlison.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Peru is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' Poor challenge from Gabriel Jesus. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 67' The Peru manager makes a substitution. Sergio Pena departs to be replaced by Luis Iberico.
- 68' Neymar Jr. has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
- 72' Brazil manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Roberto Firmino is hanging Gabriel Jesus on the field on 72 minute.
- 74' The Peru manager makes a substitution. Christian Cueva departs to be replaced by Gerald Tavara.
- 77' Brazil ring the changes. Alex Sandro has done his job and it is now time for Renan Lodi to step up.
- 82' A moment of madness from Gerald Tavara on 82 minutes earns him a card. Peru will be frustrated.
- 84' A tactical swap from Brazil — Emerson Royal on, Danilo off on 84 minutes.
- 89' Against the run of play, Everton Ribeiro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Brazil players.
Lineups
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 9
- 8
- 10
- 19
- 15
- 2
- 18
- 1
- 16
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 5
- 4
- 22
- 12
- 23
- 7
- 25
- 24
- 17
- 11
- 26
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 15
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 8
- 3
- 10
- 6
- 14
- 21
Bench
- 17
- 11
- 13
- 16
- 12
- 1
- 20
- 7
- 4
- 25
- 18
- 5
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Richarlison | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Willian | 1 |
| Dani Alves | 1 |
| Casemiro | 1 |
| Paolo Guerrero | 1 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 1 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 1 |
Brazil Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.18
Brazil xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Peru xG
I would bet for:
Brazil to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brazil win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Brazil or Draw
87%
Draw or Peru
33%
Brazil or Peru
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Brazil win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.4%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Brazil
| Handicap | Brazil covers | Push | Peru covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 23% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Brazil keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Peru keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.