Ecuador vs Brazil, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Ecuador vs Brazil — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Ecuador vs Brazil — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Roberto Firmino has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' The whistle greets Moises Caicedo as he departs to be replaced by Angel Mena.
- 22' The travelling Brazil supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' Assisted by Everton with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eder Militao makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 42' Ecuador are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brazil's shape.
- 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 49' Time for substitution for Brazil. Renan Lodi is replaced by Danilo.
- 53' What an equalizer from Angel Mena!
- 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 63' Brazil ring the changes. Roberto Firmino has done his job and it is now time for Vinicius Junior to step up.
- 68' With 1 assists to his name this season, Moises Caicedo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Ecuador.
- 72' Ecuador ring the changes. Diego Palacios has done his job and it is now time for Gonzalo Plata to step up.
- 77' The 28-year-old Alan Franco has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 78' Everton makes way for Richarlison at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brazil.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Pervis Estupinan is booked for Ecuador — card on 83.
- 83' The crowd applauds Enner Valencia as he leaves the pitch. Leonardo Campana steps in for Ecuador.
- 84' Mario Pineida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ayrton Preciado on 84 minute.
- 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ecuador and Brazil are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 17
- 13
- 16
- 1
- 20
- 15
- 4
- 25
- 14
- 21
Bench
- 11
- 12
- 7
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 8
- 3
- 10
- 18
- 5
- 6
Brazil Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 27
- 7
- 20
- 18
- 13
- 17
- 21
- 3
- 23
- 1
Bench
- 6
- 22
- 14
- 19
- 12
- 15
- 9
- 26
- 16
- 2
- 11
- 8
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22
Ecuador xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Brazil xG
I would bet for:
Ecuador or Brazil 69% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Ecuador or Draw
67%
Draw or Brazil
63%
Ecuador or Brazil
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Ecuador win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Ecuador
| Handicap | Ecuador covers | Push | Brazil covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Brazil keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.