ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.
- ES Troyes AC 34 games · 67 pts (2026/27)
- Pau FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thierry Bouille (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Pau FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | SM Caen | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Paris FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | USL Dunkerque | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Metz | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FC Annecy | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | ES Troyes AC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | Amiens SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Bastia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | FC Lorient | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
Pau FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ES Troyes AC and Pau FC get this one started.
- 5' ES Troyes AC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ES Troyes AC and Pau FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 13' A moment of madness from Jean Ruiz on 13 minutes earns him a card. Pau FC will be frustrated.
- 18' With 0 assists to his name this season, Xavier Kouassi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Pau FC.
- 23' ES Troyes AC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 28' It is a cagey affair so far. ES Troyes AC in their trying to find a way past Pau FC's compact .
- 33' Iyad Mohamed needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 10 Yellow cards this season.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 47' Antoine Mille was booked on 47.
- 52' It looks like no one’s ball. ES Troyes AC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 54' Youssouf M'Changama makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and ES Troyes AC are in front.
- 59' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 64' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 67' Cyriaque Irie is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 69' The Pau FC manager makes a substitution. Steeve Beusnard departs to be replaced by Khalid Boutaib.
- 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 77' It is a substitution in Pau FC team. Oumar Ngom is replaced by Kylian Gasnier on 77 minute.
- 78' Joseph Boende gets the nod from ES Troyes AC. He replaces Martin Adeline and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. ES Troyes AC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 87' Pape Ibnou Ba has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
- 88' Kandet Diawara makes way for Xavier Kouassi at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Pau FC.
- 89' The ES Troyes AC manager makes a substitution. Youssouf M'Changama departs to be replaced by Ryan Fage.
- 90' A moment of madness from Joseph Boende on 90 minutes earns him a card. ES Troyes AC will be frustrated.
- With this win, ES Troyes AC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
ES Troyes AC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
20
Renaud Ripart ↓ Pape Ibnou Ba 78'
- 16
- 17
-
10
Youssouf M'Changama ↓ Ryan Fage 89'
- 11
-
24
Martin Adeline ↓ Joseph Boende 78'
- 4
- 18
- 42
-
21
Cyriaque Irie ↓ Kyliane Dong 69'
Bench
- 1
-
25
Pape Ibnou Ba ↑ 78'
- 14
-
28
Ryan Fage ↑ 89'
-
27
Kyliane Dong ↑ 69'
-
15
Jaures Assoumou ↑ 69'
-
19
Joseph Boende ↑ 78'
Pau FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 25
- 21
-
18
Kandet Diawara ↓ Xavier Kouassi 88'
-
12
Jordy Gaspar ↓ Mehdi Chahiri 69'
-
7
Tairyk Arconte ↓ Joseph Kalulu 69'
- 8
-
6
Oumar Ngom ↓ Kylian Gasnier 77'
- 22
- 2
- 17
Bench
- 19
- 23
- 14
- 40
- 24
-
10
Khalid Boutaib ↑ 69'
-
11
Mehdi Chahiri ↑ 69'
-
4
Xavier Kouassi ↑ 88'
- 26
- 20
- 30
- 34
- 77
-
27
Kylian Gasnier ↑ 77'
-
33
Joseph Kalulu ↑ 69'
- 9
Coach
Nicolas Usai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mouhamed Diop | 2 |
| Mons Bassouamina | 1 |
| Charles Boli | 1 |
| Youssouf M'Changama | 1 |
| Pape Ibnou Ba | 1 |
| Lenny Pintor | 1 |
| Cyriaque Irie | 1 |
| Suk Hyunjun | 1 |
Head to Head
ES Troyes AC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63
ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ES Troyes AC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
ES Troyes AC or Draw
80%
Draw or Pau FC
45%
ES Troyes AC or Pau FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC
| Handicap | ES Troyes AC covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 24% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.