Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
3 – 0
Full Time
Tue 29 Oct 2024 · 19:30 UTC Matmut Atlantique HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.

Match Details

  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Pau FC H 3–0 W
26 Oct SM Caen A 1–0 W
21 Oct Paris FC H 0–3 L
04 Oct USL Dunkerque A 1–2 L
28 Sep FC Metz H 2–1 W
24 Sep FC Annecy A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct ES Troyes AC A 0–3 L
25 Oct Amiens SC H 0–2 L
22 Oct SC Bastia H 1–1 D
18 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
27 Sep Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 1–3 L
24 Sep FC Lorient H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Matmut Atlantique. ES Troyes AC are looking to make home advantage count against Pau FC.
  • 5' The travelling Pau FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Steeve Beusnard, as he is very good at scoring at Matmut Atlantique with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 13' That is a card for Pau FC. Jean Ruiz will be fuming at that decision.
  • 18' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 23' Pau FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. ES Troyes AC and Pau FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Abdoulaye Kante suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' ES Troyes AC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 47' Pau FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
  • 52' Nicolas Lemaitre has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 54' What composure from Youssouf M'Changama! The Comoros international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 59' Martin Adeline is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ES Troyes AC so far.
  • 64' ES Troyes AC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 67' Brilliant from the forward! Cyriaque Irie makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 67.
  • 69' Khalid Boutaib gets the nod from Pau FC. He replaces Steeve Beusnard and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 77' A change in the Pau FC ranks — Oumar Ngom exits the field as Kylian Gasnier enters on 77.
  • 78' ES Troyes AC ring the changes. Martin Adeline has done his job and it is now time for Joseph Boende to step up.
  • 83' It looks like no one’s ball. ES Troyes AC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 87' A stunning finish from Pape Ibnou Ba — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 88' A tactical swap from Pau FC — Xavier Kouassi on, Kandet Diawara off on 88 minutes.
  • 89' A change in the ES Troyes AC ranks — Youssouf M'Changama exits the field as Ryan Fage enters on 89.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Joseph Boende. He receives a card.
  • The points are shared — ES Troyes AC 3-0 Pau FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63 ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC55% Draw26% Pau FC19%
Actual: ES Troyes AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

ES Troyes AC or Draw
80%
Draw or Pau FC
45%
ES Troyes AC or Pau FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ES Troyes AC37% Draw47% Pau FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC

Handicap ES Troyes AC covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.