ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ES Troyes AC vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Matmut Atlantique.
- ES Troyes AC 34 games · 67 pts (2026/27)
- Pau FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thierry Bouille (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Pau FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | SM Caen | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Paris FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | USL Dunkerque | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Metz | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FC Annecy | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | ES Troyes AC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | Amiens SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Bastia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | En Avant Guingamp | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | FC Lorient | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
Pau FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Pau FC
| Babacar Leye | 4 G | 2 A |
| Cheikh Fall | 3 G | |
| Hacene Benali | 3 G | |
| Lorenzo Rajot | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! ES Troyes AC welcome Pau FC for this crunch clash at Matmut Atlantique.
- 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 13' Poor challenge from Jean Ruiz. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 18' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both ES Troyes AC and Pau FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 23' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 28' ES Troyes AC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 33' Guinea international Kandet Diawara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 38' ES Troyes AC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
- 43' ES Troyes AC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Pau FC's shape.
- 47' Pau FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
- 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 54' Youssouf M'Changama makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and ES Troyes AC are in front.
- 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 64' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ES Troyes AC and Pau FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 67' Cyriaque Irie makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and ES Troyes AC are in front.
- 69' Steeve Beusnard makes way for Khalid Boutaib at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Pau FC.
- 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ES Troyes AC that had 455 games and scored 368 goals.
- 77' Another change for Pau FC made on 77 minute. Oumar Ngom leaves to be changed by Kylian Gasnier.
- 78' Fresh legs for ES Troyes AC! Joseph Boende comes on to replace Martin Adeline.
- 83' Xavier Kouassi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ES Troyes AC so far.
- 87' Pape Ibnou Ba has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
- 88' The whistle greets Kandet Diawara as he departs to be replaced by Xavier Kouassi.
- 89' The ES Troyes AC manager makes a substitution. Youssouf M'Changama departs to be replaced by Ryan Fage.
- 90' It’s a booking for ES Troyes AC player. Joseph Boende gets a card.
- With this win, ES Troyes AC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
ES Troyes AC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
20
Renaud Ripart ↓ Pape Ibnou Ba 78'
- 16
- 17
-
10
Youssouf M'Changama ↓ Ryan Fage 89'
- 11
-
24
Martin Adeline ↓ Joseph Boende 78'
- 4
- 18
- 42
-
21
Cyriaque Irie ↓ Kyliane Dong 69'
Bench
- 1
-
25
Pape Ibnou Ba ↑ 78'
- 14
-
28
Ryan Fage ↑ 89'
-
27
Kyliane Dong ↑ 69'
-
15
Jaures Assoumou ↑ 69'
-
19
Joseph Boende ↑ 78'
Pau FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 25
- 21
-
18
Kandet Diawara ↓ Xavier Kouassi 88'
-
12
Jordy Gaspar ↓ Mehdi Chahiri 69'
-
7
Tairyk Arconte ↓ Joseph Kalulu 69'
- 8
-
6
Oumar Ngom ↓ Kylian Gasnier 77'
- 22
- 2
- 17
Bench
- 19
- 23
- 14
- 40
- 24
-
10
Khalid Boutaib ↑ 69'
-
11
Mehdi Chahiri ↑ 69'
-
4
Xavier Kouassi ↑ 88'
- 26
- 20
- 30
- 34
- 77
-
27
Kylian Gasnier ↑ 77'
-
33
Joseph Kalulu ↑ 69'
- 9
Coach
Nicolas Usaï
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mouhamed Diop | 2 |
| Pape Ibnou Ba | 1 |
| Lenny Pintor | 1 |
| Cyriaque Irie | 1 |
| Suk Hyunjun | 1 |
| Nicolas de Preville | 1 |
| Brandon Domingues | 1 |
| Rafiki Said Ahamada | 1 |
Head to Head
ES Troyes AC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.63
ES Troyes AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ES Troyes AC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
ES Troyes AC or Draw
80%
Draw or Pau FC
45%
ES Troyes AC or Pau FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — ES Troyes AC
| Handicap | ES Troyes AC covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 24% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.