Saturday , 26 September 2026

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 19:30 UTC Barradao 17,891 HT 45' · FT 45'
Caca 35' 1–0
Ramon 83' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Anderson Daronco
  • Assistant 1 Rafael da Silva Alves
  • Assistant 2 Joverton Wesley de Souza Lima (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr São Paulo FC H 2–0 W
05 Apr Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
01 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
22 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
19 Mar Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
14 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D
22 Mar SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
18 Mar CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
15 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–1 W

Season Stats

EC Vitoria São Paulo FC
#13 Position #11
33 Points 36
28 Played 27
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
28 Scored 32
42 Conceded 30
-14 GD +2
1.18 PPG 1.33
32% Win % 37%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Vitória welcome São Paulo FC for this crunch clash at Barradao.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathan suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Gonzalo Tapia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 20' EC Vitória currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 380 games and scored 414 goals.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' Goal! Caca scores his 12 goal in 260 matches.
  • 37' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 37.
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 47' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitória and São Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 52' Erick is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for São Paulo FC tonight.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Ramon is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 54.
  • 57' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cedric is hanging Cauly on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' EC Vitória has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 66' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Andre Silva by Gonzalo Tapia on 66 minute.
  • 71' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Carlos Rene on, Renato Kayzer off on 71 minutes.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Diego Tarzia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 76' Perivan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Danielzinho as he leaves the pitch. Lucca Marques steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 83' GOAL! Ramon scores on 83. Assisted by Gabriel Baralhas
  • 87' Gabriel Baralhas was booked on 87.
  • 88' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ronald is hanging Gabriel Baralhas on the field on 88 minute.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Toloi on 89 minutes.
  • São Paulo FC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Vitória were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria42% Draw30% São Paulo FC28%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
72%
Draw or São Paulo FC
58%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria26% Draw52% São Paulo FC22%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.