Saturday , 26 September 2026

EC Juventude vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 24 Jul 2025 · 22:00 UTC Alfredo Jaconi HT 45' · FT 45'
Marcos Paulo 27' Y
Y 28' Andre Silva
Gilberto 31' Y
Y 90' Luciano
Caique 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Juventude vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Alfredo Jaconi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul São Paulo FC H 0–1 L
20 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 0–4 L
14 Jul SC Recife H 2–0 W
01 Jun Gremio FBPA H 0–2 L
26 May RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
18 May Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jul EC Juventude A 1–0 W
20 Jul SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
17 Jul RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
12 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
13 Jun CR Vasco da Gama H 1–3 L
31 May EC Bahia A 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Alfredo Jaconi will turn into a battlefield for EC Juventude and São Paulo FC.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Juventude and São Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Monteiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for São Paulo FC.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' Marcos Paulo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 27.
  • 28' A moment of madness from Andre Silva on 28 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 31' Gilberto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 31.
  • 36' Wilker Angel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Juventude side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' The whistle greets Marcos Paulo as he departs to be replaced by Abner.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' EC Juventude are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined São Paulo FC backline.
  • 61' Matheus Babi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gilberto on 61 minute.
  • 62' A change in the EC Juventude ranks — Enmerson Batalla exits the field as Enio enters on 62.
  • 65' Rodrigo Huendra has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cedric on 65 minute.
  • 68' Gabriel Taliari has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Veron on 68 minute.
  • 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' Luiz Mandaca makes way for Nene at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Juventude.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Andre Silva is replaced by Ferreira.
  • 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Claudio Tencati will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 85' Luciano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
  • 88' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Alisson is withdrawn and Luan gets his opportunity.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Luciano gets a card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from São Paulo FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 EC Juventude xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Juventude or São Paulo FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Juventude35% Draw32% São Paulo FC33%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

EC Juventude or Draw
67%
Draw or São Paulo FC
65%
EC Juventude or São Paulo FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Juventude24% Draw54% São Paulo FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.6%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Juventude

Handicap EC Juventude covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.