Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs Santos FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 2
Full Time
Mon 18 Sep 2023 · 23:00 UTC Arena Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 88' Joaquim
Lucas Mugni 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Santos FC H 1–2 L
14 Sep Coritiba FBC A 4–2 W
03 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–1 D
27 Aug Botafogo FR A 0–3 L
20 Aug RB Bragantino H 4–0 W
13 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep EC Bahia A 2–1 W
14 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 0–3 L
03 Sep America FC A 0–2 L
27 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–2 L
20 Aug Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
13 Aug Fortaleza EC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Santos FC
#5 Position #8
46 Points 38
28 Played 27
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 9
43 Scored 41
35 Conceded 40
+8 GD +1
1.64 PPG 1.41
43% Win % 37%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
26% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Santos FC are 8th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 11 G 3 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for EC Bahia to score. At the same time, Santos FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Uruguay international Nicolas Acevedo has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Santos FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Santos FC that had 291 games and scored 364 goals.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joao Basso is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Santos FC.
  • 40' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Santos FC's shape.
  • 45' Santos FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Camilo Candido makes it 1-0.
  • 64' The travelling Santos FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 66' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luciano Juba is hanging Ademir Santos on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' Santos FC have won 364 goals from 291 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 73' Goal! Marcos Leonardo Almeida scores his 51 goal in 291 matches.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Santos FC! Nonato comes on to replace Lucas Lima.
  • 80' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Kevyson exits the field as Junior Caicara enters on 80.
  • 83' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Mugni is hanging Yago Felipe on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' Joaquim has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 88.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lucas Mugni.
  • 90' Santos FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dodi is hanging Yeferson Soteldo on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Santos FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia47% Draw26% Santos FC27%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
74%
Draw or Santos FC
53%
EC Bahia or Santos FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia37% Draw44% Santos FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.