EC Bahia vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | Santos FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | CA Boston River | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | EC Juventude | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | RB Bragantino | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Bahia welcome Ceará SC for this crunch clash at Arena Fonte Nova.
- 5' Matheus Araujo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ceará SC backline.
- 15' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Portugal international Rafael Ramos has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Lucas Mugni has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 44' A tactical swap from Ceara SC — Guilherme Luiz on, Aylon off on 44 minutes.
- 46' Erick gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Luciano Rodriguez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' That is a card for EC Bahia. Ademir Santos will be fuming at that decision.
- 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everton Ribeiro is hanging Rodrigo Nestor on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Everton Ribeiro.
- 69' Guilherme Luiz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 74' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Lucas Mugni is replaced by Romulo on 74 minute.
- 76' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
- 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 82' Another substitution for EC Bahia to replace Ademir Santos by Ruan Pablo on 82 minute.
- 84' Fernando Sobral has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 84.
- 89' Luciano Rodriguez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Fabiano Silva.
- 90' Ceara SC ring the changes. Fernando Sobral has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Henrique to step up.
- Ceará SC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Ruan Pablo 82'
- 2
- 22
- 8
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↓ Luciano Juba 59'
- 14
- 11
- 33
- 21
- 26
-
9
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Erick 46'
Bench
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 59'
- 1
- 19
-
46
Luciano Juba ↑ 59'
- 37
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↑ 59'
-
16
Erick ↑ 46'
- 83
-
52
Ruan Pablo ↑ 82'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Aylon ↓ Guilherme Luiz 44'
- 16
- 3
- 2
-
10
Lucas Mugni ↓ Romulo 74'
- 88
- 9
- 70
- 20
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 40
- 33
- 97
- 18
-
7
Pedro Henrique ↑ 90'
-
8
Matheus Araujo ↑ 74'
- 31
- 99
-
19
Romulo ↑ 74'
-
80
Guilherme Luiz ↑ 44'
Coach
Leo Condé
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Luiz Otavio | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Saulo Mineiro | 1 |
| Calyson | 1 |
| Ze Rafael | 1 |
| Stiven Mendoza | 1 |
| Edigar Junio | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Ceará SC
57%
EC Bahia or Ceará SC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
