Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 28 Aug 2021 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
21 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
18 Aug Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
14 Aug Peterborough United FC A 1–2 L
07 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–1 D
08 May Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Aug Derby County FC A 1–1 D
21 Aug Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
18 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
14 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 1–2 L
08 Aug Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
08 May Preston North End FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 11' Magnificent from Tom Lawrence! That is 48 goals in 393 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 16' James Garner has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 21' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Nottingham Forest FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for James Garner on 35.
  • 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kamil Jozwiak on 39.
  • 44' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nottingham Forest FC's shape.
  • 46' Nottingham Forest FC ring the changes. Joao Carvalho has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Mighten to step up.
  • 51' Nottingham Forest FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 66' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nottingham Forest FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Ravel Morrison. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 67' Derby County FC make a change. Tom Lawrence trudges off to be replaced by Jack Stretton on 67 minutes.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Grabban. He replaces Ryan Yates on 69 minute.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Nathan Byrne on 80 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 81' Kamil Jozwiak makes way for Lee Buchanan at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 82' What a moment for Brennan Johnson! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' Louie Sibley was booked on 83.
  • 88' Phil Jagielka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC42% Draw30% Nottingham Forest FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
58%
Derby County FC or Nottingham Forest FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC26% Draw53% Nottingham Forest FC21%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.