Derby County FC vs Leicester City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Leicester City FC — Championship .
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Leicester City FC 46 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
8 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Leicester City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | Sheffield United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Southampton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Nov | Stoke City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | Norwich City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Leicester City FC for this crunch clash at .
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Leicester City FC Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Leicester City FC Form
2025-12-06
Derby County FC
1–3
Leicester City FC
W
2025-11-29
Leicester City FC
2–3
Sheffield United FC
L
2025-11-25
Southampton FC
3–0
Leicester City FC
L
2025-11-22
Leicester City FC
2–1
Stoke City FC
W
2025-11-08
Norwich City FC
1–2
Leicester City FC
W
2025-11-04
Leicester City FC
1–1
Middlesbrough FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Leicester City FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leicester City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Leicester City FC
70%
Derby County FC or Leicester City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Leicester City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Leicester City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

