Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Leicester City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Derby County FC
1 – 3
Full Time
Leicester City FC
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Leicester City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Leicester City FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
Leicester City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Derby County FC A 3–1 W
29 Nov Sheffield United FC H 2–3 L
25 Nov Southampton FC A 0–3 L
22 Nov Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
08 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Leicester City FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC30% Draw27% Leicester City FC43%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Leicester City FC
70%
Derby County FC or Leicester City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC22% Draw43% Leicester City FC35%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.