Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Leicester City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Leicester City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Derby County FC A 3–1 W
29 Nov Sheffield United FC H 2–3 L
25 Nov Southampton FC A 0–3 L
22 Nov Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
08 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
04 Nov Middlesbrough FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Leicester City FC
#23 Position #5
0 Points 46
0 Played 46
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 12 / 16 / 18
0 Scored 58
0 Conceded 68
+0 GD -10
PPG 1.00
Win % 26%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Leicester City FC are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Leicester City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.71 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Leicester City FC xG
I would bet for: Leicester City FC or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC24% Draw32% Leicester City FC44%
Actual: Leicester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Leicester City FC
76%
Derby County FC or Leicester City FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC14% Draw54% Leicester City FC32%
Actual: Leicester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
16.3%
0 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 2
10.8%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 4
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Leicester City FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 26% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 15% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.