Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 8 Oct 2023 · 15:30 UTC Emirates Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Martinelli 86' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Lee Betts
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 1–2 L
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 4–0 W
24 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–2 D
20 Sep PSV H 4–0 W
17 Sep Everton FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–1 L
04 Oct RB Leipzig A 3–1 W
30 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
23 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 2–0 W
19 Sep FK Crvena Zvezda H 3–1 W
16 Sep West Ham United FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Manchester City FC
#2 Position #1
12 Points 15
5 Played 5
4 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 0
8 Scored 13
4 Conceded 5
+4 GD +8
2.40 PPG 3.00
80% Win % 100%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Arsenal FC are 2nd (12 pts). Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Bukayo Saka 3 G
Martin Odegaard 2 G
Kai Havertz 2 G
Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Arsenal FC host Manchester City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 11' It’s a booking for Arsenal FC player. Jorginho gets a Yellow card.
  • 16' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
  • 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 23' Bernardo Silva has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 23.
  • 28' Manchester City FC have won 1027 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 29' Mateo Kovacic is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' Manchester City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pep Guardiola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' A change in the Arsenal FC ranks — Leandro Trossard exits the field as Martinelli enters on 46.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' Nathan Ake, a Netherlands defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' John Stones is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Arsenal FC so far.
  • 66' Arsenal FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 68' John Stones gets the nod from Manchester City FC. He replaces Rico Lewis and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 75' Another change for Arsenal FC made on 75 minute. Oleksandr Zinchenko leaves to be changed by Takehiro Tomiyasu.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 86' Assisted by Kai Havertz with the perfectly-timed delivery and Martinelli makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Gabriel Jesus argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • It finishes all square. Arsenal FC and Manchester City FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Arsenal FC or Manchester City FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC37% Draw27% Manchester City FC36%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Manchester City FC
63%
Arsenal FC or Manchester City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC25% Draw46% Manchester City FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✗
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.