Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Burton Albion FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,591 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 7' Antony Evans

Bez Lubala 26' 1–1

Bez Lubala 43' 2–1

Joe Powell 81' 3–1

Kwadwo Baah 84' 4–1

Jasper Moon 18' Y

R 64' Ryan Woods

Max Crocombe 70' Y

Mark Helm 88' Y

Y 90' Lamare Bogarde

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Christopher Pollard (England)
Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
Assistant 2 Danny Gratton

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 11 games · Avg 2.6 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2023-02-18 Bristol Rovers FC 1–2 Burton Albion FC 2022-08-06 Burton Albion FC 0–4 Bristol Rovers FC 2021-03-02 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Bristol Rovers FC 2020-10-17 Bristol Rovers FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Bristol Rovers FC	H	4–1	W
14 Oct	Lincoln City FC	A	1–0	W
09 Oct	Cambridge United FC	H	2–1	W
03 Oct	Wigan Athletic FC	H	2–1	W
30 Sep	Reading FC	A	0–0	D
23 Sep	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–1	D

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Burton Albion FC	A	1–4	L
07 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	1–2	L
03 Oct	Port Vale FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Peterborough United FC	A	0–2	L
23 Sep	Wigan Athletic FC	H	4–1	W
16 Sep	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Pirelli Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
7' GOAL! Antony Evans fires home to make it 0-1!
12' Ryan Sweeney has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
17' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jasper Moon on 18 minutes.
23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
26' Assisted by Tom Hamer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bez Lubala makes no mistake. 1-1!
31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burton Albion FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
36' The 37-year-old Chris Martin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burton Albion FC and Bristol Rovers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
43' Bez Lubala doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
48' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joshua Grant, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
58' John Marquis, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
63' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burton Albion FC and Bristol Rovers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
64' The referee shows Bristol Rovers FC player a card on 64.
66' Mason Bennett is replacing Ciaran Gilligan for the Burton Albion FC side.
70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Max Crocombe on 70.
75' It’s high time Joey Barton made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
76' The crowd applauds Antony Evans as he leaves the pitch. Lamare Bogarde steps in for Bristol Rovers FC.
81' What a strike from Joe Powell! The score is 3-1.
84' Kwadwo Baah adds to his 0 season tally! Burton Albion FC lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
85' Time for substitution for Bristol Rovers FC. Chris Martin is replaced by Lewis Gordon.
88' A moment of madness from Mark Helm on 88 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
89' Bez Lubala makes way for Rekeem Harper at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
90' Bristol Rovers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
90' Burton Albion FC ring the changes. Kwadwo Baah has done his job and it is now time for Josh Gordon to step up.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Bristol Rovers FC.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 89'
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 66'
30
Jamal Blackman
10
Josh Gordon ↑ 90'
14
Josh Walker
9
Cole Stockton ↑ 89'
22
Jake Caprice

Coach Dino Maamria

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Joey Barton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Antony Evans	3
Bez Lubala	2
Aaron Collins	2
Chris Martin	1
Ben Fox	1
Charlie Kirk	1
Isaac Hutchinson	1
Lucas Akins	1

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-10-14 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC W 2023-10-09 Burton Albion FC 2–1 Cambridge United FC W 2023-10-03 Burton Albion FC 2–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-30 Reading FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2023-09-23 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Fleetwood Town FC D

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-03 Bristol Rovers FC 3–0 Port Vale FC W 2023-09-30 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-09-23 Bristol Rovers FC 4–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–2 Bristol Rovers FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.75 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC54% Draw25% Bristol Rovers FC21%

Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

46%

Burton Albion FC or Bristol Rovers FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burton Albion FC36% Draw45% Bristol Rovers FC19%

Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

9.1%

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

5.5%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.