Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Burton Albion FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,591 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 7' Antony Evans

Bez Lubala 26' 1–1

Bez Lubala 43' 2–1

Joe Powell 81' 3–1

Kwadwo Baah 84' 4–1

Jasper Moon 18' Y

R 64' Ryan Woods

Max Crocombe 70' Y

Mark Helm 88' Y

Y 90' Lamare Bogarde

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Christopher Pollard (England)
Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
Assistant 2 Danny Gratton

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 11 games · Avg 2.6 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2023-02-18 Bristol Rovers FC 1–2 Burton Albion FC 2022-08-06 Burton Albion FC 0–4 Bristol Rovers FC 2021-03-02 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Bristol Rovers FC 2020-10-17 Bristol Rovers FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Bristol Rovers FC	H	4–1	W
14 Oct	Lincoln City FC	A	1–0	W
09 Oct	Cambridge United FC	H	2–1	W
03 Oct	Wigan Athletic FC	H	2–1	W
30 Sep	Reading FC	A	0–0	D
23 Sep	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–1	D

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Burton Albion FC	A	1–4	L
07 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	1–2	L
03 Oct	Port Vale FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Peterborough United FC	A	0–2	L
23 Sep	Wigan Athletic FC	H	4–1	W
16 Sep	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

5/1

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

Jack Armer	2 G	1 A
Finn Delap	2 G
Matthew Dennis	1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Burton Albion FC host Bristol Rovers FC — let the battle begin!
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
7' Antony Evans doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
12' Bristol Rovers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
17' With 1 assists to his name this season, Harvey Vale is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bristol Rovers FC.
18' The referee calls foul for Jasper Moon. He receives a card.
23' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
26' Assisted by Tom Hamer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bez Lubala makes no mistake. 1-1!
31' The travelling Bristol Rovers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
36' The 31-year-old Josh Gordon has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
41' Lamare Bogarde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol Rovers FC so far.
43' What composure from Bez Lubala! The DR Congo international strokes it home. 2-1.
48' Burton Albion FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
53' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
63' Burton Albion FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol Rovers FC backline.
64' Ryan Woods was booked on 64.
66' Ciaran Gilligan makes way for Mason Bennett at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
70' It’s a booking for Burton Albion FC player. Max Crocombe gets a card.
75' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dino Maamria might look to freshen things up shortly.
76' Lamare Bogarde has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antony Evans on 76 minute.
81' The deadlock is broken! Joe Powell gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
84' GOAL! Kwadwo Baah scores on 84. Assisted by Bez Lubala
85' A tactical swap from Bristol Rovers FC — Lewis Gordon on, Chris Martin off on 85 minutes.
88' It’s gonna be a card for Mark Helm.
89' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Bez Lubala is replaced by Rekeem Harper on 89 minute.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Lamare Bogarde.
90' The supporters are chanting for Josh Gordon. He replaces Kwadwo Baah on 90 minute.
Full Time. Burton Albion FC beats Bristol Rovers FC

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 89'
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 66'
30
Jamal Blackman
10
Josh Gordon ↑ 90'
14
Josh Walker
9
Cole Stockton ↑ 89'
22
Jake Caprice

Coach Dino Maamria

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Joey Barton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Antony Evans	3
Bez Lubala	2
Aaron Collins	2
Grant Ward	1
Scott Sinclair	1
James Connolly	1
Shaqai Forde	1
John Marquis	1

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-10-14 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC W 2023-10-09 Burton Albion FC 2–1 Cambridge United FC W 2023-10-03 Burton Albion FC 2–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-30 Reading FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2023-09-23 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Fleetwood Town FC D

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-03 Bristol Rovers FC 3–0 Port Vale FC W 2023-09-30 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-09-23 Bristol Rovers FC 4–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–2 Bristol Rovers FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.75 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC54% Draw25% Bristol Rovers FC21%

Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

46%

Burton Albion FC or Bristol Rovers FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burton Albion FC36% Draw45% Bristol Rovers FC19%

Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

9.1%

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

5.5%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.