Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Burton Albion FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,591 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 7' Antony Evans

Bez Lubala 26' 1–1

Bez Lubala 43' 2–1

Joe Powell 81' 3–1

Kwadwo Baah 84' 4–1

Jasper Moon 18' Y

R 64' Ryan Woods

Max Crocombe 70' Y

Mark Helm 88' Y

Y 90' Lamare Bogarde

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion FC 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Christopher Pollard (England)
Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
Assistant 2 Danny Gratton

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
4	Exeter City FC	46	49
5	Port Vale FC	46	42
6	Rotherham United FC	46	41
7	Northampton Town FC	46	35
8	Huddersfield Town AFC	1	3
9	Stockport County FC	1	3
10	Bradford City AFC	1	3
11	Luton Town FC	1	3
12	Cambridge United FC	1	3
13	Mansfield Town FC	1	3
14	Sheffield Wednesday FC	1	3
15	Bromley FC	1	3
16	Oxford United FC	1	1
17	Milton Keynes Dons FC	1	1
18	Stevenage FC	1	1
19	Wycombe Wanderers FC	1	1
20	Blackpool FC	1	1
21	Burton Albion FC	1	1
22	Leicester City FC	1	1
23	Notts County FC	1	1
24	Reading FC	1	0
25	Wigan Athletic FC	1	0
26	Doncaster Rovers FC	1	0
27	Leyton Orient FC	1	0
28	Barnsley FC	1	0
29	Plymouth Argyle FC	1	0
30	Peterborough United FC	1	0
31	AFC Wimbledon	1	0

Head-to-Head

Burton Albion FC 11 games · Avg 2.6 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2023-02-18 Bristol Rovers FC 1–2 Burton Albion FC 2022-08-06 Burton Albion FC 0–4 Bristol Rovers FC 2021-03-02 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Bristol Rovers FC 2020-10-17 Bristol Rovers FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC

Recent Form

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Bristol Rovers FC	H	4–1	W
14 Oct	Lincoln City FC	A	1–0	W
09 Oct	Cambridge United FC	H	2–1	W
03 Oct	Wigan Athletic FC	H	2–1	W
30 Sep	Reading FC	A	0–0	D
23 Sep	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–1	D

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Burton Albion FC	A	1–4	L
07 Oct	Oxford United FC	A	1–2	L
03 Oct	Port Vale FC	H	3–0	W
30 Sep	Peterborough United FC	A	0–2	L
23 Sep	Wigan Athletic FC	H	4–1	W
16 Sep	Shrewsbury Town FC	A	2–0	W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burton Albion FC and Bristol Rovers FC has kicked off!
5' Adedeji Oshilaja has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
7' GOAL! Antony Evans scores on 7. Assisted by Aaron Collins
12' The 32-year-old Max Crocombe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
17' Ciaran Gilligan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 372 appearances.
18' The referee calls foul for Jasper Moon. He receives a card.
23' Harvey Vale, a Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
26' Assisted by Tom Hamer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bez Lubala makes no mistake. 1-1!
31' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
41' Scott Sinclair is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
43' Bez Lubala adds to his 0 season tally! Burton Albion FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
58' Kwadwo Baah has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 19 cards already picked up this season.
63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
64' It’s a booking for Bristol Rovers FC player. Ryan Woods gets a card.
66' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mason Bennett is hanging Ciaran Gilligan on the field on 66 minute.
70' The referee calls foul for Max Crocombe. He receives a card.
75' Bristol Rovers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
76' Bristol Rovers FC ring the changes. Antony Evans has done his job and it is now time for Lamare Bogarde to step up.
81' GOAL! Joe Powell scores on 81. Assisted by Ryan Sweeney
84' What a strike from Kwadwo Baah! The score is 4-1.
85' It is a substitution in Bristol Rovers FC team. Chris Martin is replaced by Lewis Gordon on 85 minute.
88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mark Helm on 88.
89' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 89 minute. Bez Lubala leaves to be changed by Rekeem Harper.
90' The referee shows Bristol Rovers FC player a card on 90.
90' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Kwadwo Baah departs to be replaced by Josh Gordon.
With this win, Burton Albion FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 89'
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 66'
30
Jamal Blackman
10
Josh Gordon ↑ 90'
14
Josh Walker
9
Cole Stockton ↑ 89'
22
Jake Caprice

Coach Dino Maamria

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Joey Barton

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Antony Evans	3
Bez Lubala	2
Aaron Collins	2
Shaqai Forde	1
John Marquis	1
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo	1
Sam Winnall	1
Chris Martin	1

Head to Head

Burton Albion FC Form

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC W 2023-10-14 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Burton Albion FC W 2023-10-09 Burton Albion FC 2–1 Cambridge United FC W 2023-10-03 Burton Albion FC 2–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-30 Reading FC 0–0 Burton Albion FC D 2023-09-23 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Fleetwood Town FC D

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2023-10-21 Burton Albion FC 4–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-07 Oxford United FC 2–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-10-03 Bristol Rovers FC 3–0 Port Vale FC W 2023-09-30 Peterborough United FC 2–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-09-23 Bristol Rovers FC 4–1 Wigan Athletic FC W 2023-09-16 Shrewsbury Town FC 0–2 Bristol Rovers FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.75 Burton Albion FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burton Albion FC54% Draw25% Bristol Rovers FC21%

Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

46%

Burton Albion FC or Bristol Rovers FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Burton Albion FC36% Draw45% Bristol Rovers FC19%

Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

12%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

9.1%

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

5.5%

2 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap	Burton Albion FC covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	22%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.