Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 3,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Antony Evans
Bez Lubala 26' 1–1
Bez Lubala 43' 2–1
Joe Powell 81' 3–1
Kwadwo Baah 84' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Christopher Pollard (England)
  • Assistant 1 Ollie Williams
  • Assistant 2 Danny Gratton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–1 W
14 Oct Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
09 Oct Cambridge United FC H 2–1 W
03 Oct Wigan Athletic FC H 2–1 W
30 Sep Reading FC A 0–0 D
23 Sep Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–4 L
07 Oct Oxford United FC A 1–2 L
03 Oct Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
30 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Wigan Athletic FC H 4–1 W
16 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Burton Albion FC launch into their encounter with Bristol Rovers FC.
  • 5' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 7' Antony Evans has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 12' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' A moment of madness from Jasper Moon on 18 minutes earns him a card. Burton Albion FC will be frustrated.
  • 23' Bristol Rovers FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 26' The DR Congo forward Bez Lubala breaks the deadlock on 26 minutes. 1-1!
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burton Albion FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jasper Moon, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Gibbons suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' Against the run of play, Bez Lubala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 48' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol Rovers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 53' Joe Powell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 25 Yellow cards this season.
  • 58' Bristol Rovers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 63' Bristol Rovers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Woods.
  • 66' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 66 minute. Ciaran Gilligan leaves to be changed by Mason Bennett.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Max Crocombe is booked for Burton Albion FC — card on 70.
  • 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. Joey Barton might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' Bristol Rovers FC ring the changes. Antony Evans has done his job and it is now time for Lamare Bogarde to step up.
  • 81' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Joe Powell makes it 3-1.
  • 84' Kwadwo Baah has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Bristol Rovers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Gordon is hanging Chris Martin on the field on 85 minute.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Mark Helm.
  • 89' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 89 minute. Bez Lubala leaves to be changed by Rekeem Harper.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Lamare Bogarde on 90 minutes earns him a card. Bristol Rovers FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Kwadwo Baah is replaced by Josh Gordon.
  • 4-1 the final result. Bristol Rovers FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.75 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC54% Draw25% Bristol Rovers FC21%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
46%
Burton Albion FC or Bristol Rovers FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC36% Draw45% Bristol Rovers FC19%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.