Carlisle United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carlisle United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Brunton Park.
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Woods
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
4 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Nov | Leyton Orient FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | Cambridge United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Burton Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | Leyton Orient FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Carlisle United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Reading FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Whitby Town FC | H | 7–2 | W |
| 28 Oct | Northampton Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | Stevenage FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Burton Albion FC | A | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Carlisle United FC and Bristol Rovers FC is underway.
- 5' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ben Barclay on 5 minutes.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 14' Controversy at the stadium! Joe Garner argues furiously but the card stands.
- 19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 29' England international John Marquis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' The 29-year-old Jon Mellish has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 38' Against the run of play, Sam Lavelle has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 42' Carlisle United FC make a change. Paul Huntington trudges off to be replaced by Sean Maguire on 42 minutes.
- 45' George Friend has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 50' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 51' Aaron Collins is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
- 56' Antony Evans has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Harvey Vale suffering a number of foals already.
- 66' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Chris Martin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 67' The whistle greets Chris Martin as he departs to be replaced by John Marquis.
- 68' The whistle greets Joe Garner as he departs to be replaced by Terry Ablade.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Tristan Crama argues furiously but the card stands.
- 76' Another substitution for Bristol Rovers FC to replace Jack Hunt by Joshua Grant on 76 minute.
- 81' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
- 84' Another substitution for Bristol Rovers FC to replace Aaron Collins by Jevani Brown on 84 minute.
- 89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 90' Carlisle United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 26
- 21
-
6
Paul Huntington ↓ Sean Maguire 42'
- 1
-
14
Joe Garner ↓ Terry Ablade 68'
- 5
- 3
- 27
- 4
- 7
Bench
-
24
Sean Maguire ↑ 42'
- 9
- 11
- 17
- 25
- 19
-
12
Terry Ablade ↑ 68'
Bristol Rovers FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
42
Jack Hunt ↓ Joshua Grant 76'
-
15
Ryan Woods ↓ James Gibbons 84'
-
18
Chris Martin ↓ John Marquis 67'
- 32
-
10
Aaron Collins ↓ Jevani Brown 84'
- 5
- 21
- 25
- 33
- 19
- 22
Bench
-
9
John Marquis ↑ 67'
- 11
-
28
James Gibbons ↑ 84'
-
20
Jevani Brown ↑ 84'
- 7
-
4
Joshua Grant ↑ 76'
- 35
Coach
Andrew Mangan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Martin | 1 |
| Scott Sinclair | 1 |
| Josh Vela | 1 |
Head to Head
Carlisle United FC Form
2023-11-11
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Bristol Rovers FC
L
2023-11-04
Leyton Orient FC
3–1
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-28
Cambridge United FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-24
Carlisle United FC
2–1
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-10-21
Portsmouth FC
1–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2023-10-14
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Leyton Orient FC
L
Bristol Rovers FC Form
2023-11-11
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2023-11-07
Reading FC
1–1
Bristol Rovers FC
D
2023-11-04
Bristol Rovers FC
7–2
Whitby Town FC
W
2023-10-28
Bristol Rovers FC
2–1
Northampton Town FC
W
2023-10-24
Bristol Rovers FC
1–1
Stevenage FC
D
2023-10-21
Burton Albion FC
4–1
Bristol Rovers FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for:
Bristol Rovers FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol Rovers FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Carlisle United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
70%
Carlisle United FC or Bristol Rovers FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC
| Handicap | Carlisle United FC covers | Push | Bristol Rovers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 21% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.