Sunday , 16 August 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,838 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Sam Lavelle og

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–3 L
28 Oct Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
24 Oct Burton Albion FC H 2–1 W
21 Oct Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
14 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Carlisle United FC A 1–0 W
07 Nov Reading FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Whitby Town FC H 7–2 W
28 Oct Northampton Town FC H 2–1 W
24 Oct Stevenage FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Burton Albion FC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol Rovers FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC30% Draw32% Bristol Rovers FC38%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
70%
Carlisle United FC or Bristol Rovers FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC21% Draw55% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.