Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Cardiff City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Oliver Yates

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
4	Exeter City FC	46	49
5	Port Vale FC	46	42
6	Rotherham United FC	46	41
7	Northampton Town FC	46	35
8	Stockport County FC	0	0
9	Bradford City AFC	0	0
10	Stevenage FC	0	0
11	Luton Town FC	0	0
12	Plymouth Argyle FC	0	0
13	Huddersfield Town AFC	0	0
14	Mansfield Town FC	0	0
15	Wycombe Wanderers FC	0	0
16	Reading FC	0	0
17	Blackpool FC	0	0
18	Doncaster Rovers FC	0	0
19	Barnsley FC	0	0
20	Wigan Athletic FC	0	0
21	Burton Albion FC	0	0
22	Peterborough United FC	0	0
23	AFC Wimbledon	0	0
24	Leyton Orient FC	0	0
25	Leicester City FC	0	0
26	Cambridge United FC	0	0
27	Bromley FC	0	0
28	Sheffield Wednesday FC	0	0
29	Oxford United FC	0	0
30	Milton Keynes Dons FC	0	0
31	Notts County FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC 2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W
07 Feb	Rotherham United FC	A	3–0	W
31 Jan	Burton Albion FC	A	2–2	D
27 Jan	Barnsley FC	H	4–0	W
24 Jan	Stockport County FC	H	1–1	D
17 Jan	Bradford City AFC	A	2–1	W

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	Bradford City AFC	H	2–1	W
31 Jan	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W
27 Jan	Huddersfield Town AFC	A	0–1	L
24 Jan	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	0–1	L
17 Jan	Lincoln City FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC		Luton Town FC
#2	Position	#11
91	Points	0
46	Played	0
27 / 10 / 9	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
90	Scored	0
50	Conceded	0
+40	GD	+0
1.98	PPG	–
59%	Win %	–

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts). Luton Town FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Sean Morrison	2
Jacob Brown	1
Sheyi Ojo	1
Calum Chambers	1
Harry Wilson	1
Thelo Aasgaard	1

Head to Head

Cardiff City FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC W 2026-02-07 Rotherham United FC 0–3 Cardiff City FC W 2026-01-31 Burton Albion FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2026-01-27 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Barnsley FC W 2026-01-24 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Stockport County FC D 2026-01-17 Bradford City AFC 1–2 Cardiff City FC W

Luton Town FC Form

2026-02-14 Cardiff City FC 3–1 Luton Town FC L 2026-02-07 Luton Town FC 2–1 Bradford City AFC W 2026-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Blackpool FC W 2026-01-27 Huddersfield Town AFC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-24 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–0 Luton Town FC L 2026-01-17 Luton Town FC 2–2 Lincoln City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.95 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.39 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC50% Draw35% Luton Town FC15%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes22% 0% No78%

Avg goals/match: 1.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	71%	29%
± 1.5	39%	61%
± 2.5	16%	84%
± 3.5	5%	95%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

85%

Draw or Luton Town FC

50%

Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC

65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cardiff City FC28% Draw64% Luton Town FC8%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

28.8%

1 – 0

23.6%

2 – 0

11.1%

1 – 1

10.5%

0 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 2

1.8%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

1.7%

2 – 2

1.1%

4 – 0

0.9%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	13%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	29%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	10%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

68% ✗

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.