Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs US Cremonese, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 13:00 UTC Unipol Domus 16,412 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs US CremoneseSerie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Bercigli
  • Assistant 2 Federico Fontani (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Cagliari Calcio 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals US Cremonese

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr US Cremonese H 1–0 W
04 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–2 L
20 Mar SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
15 Mar AC Pisa 1909 A 1–3 L
07 Mar Como 1907 H 1–2 L
27 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 0–1 L
05 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 1–2 L
21 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 A 2–0 W
16 Mar ACF Fiorentina H 1–4 L
08 Mar US Lecce A 1–2 L
01 Mar AC Milan H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio US Cremonese
#14 Position #18
43 Points 34
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 8 / 10 / 20
40 Scored 32
53 Conceded 57
-13 GD -25
1.13 PPG 0.89
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). US Cremonese are 18th (34 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cagliari Calcio to score. At the same time, US Cremonese does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' The referee shows US Cremonese player a card on 4.
  • 9' Alessio Zerbin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 14' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 19' It’s high time Fabio Pisacane made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 29' US Cremonese is showing some good football. However, US Cremonese are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' Michel Adopo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luca Mazzitelli on 31 minute.
  • 36' Cagliari Calcio seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Cagliari Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 51' It looks surprising US Cremonese does not make any changes. Romano Floriani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cagliari Calcio that had 418 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 61' Another change for Cagliari Calcio made on 61 minute. Gennaro Borrelli leaves to be changed by Paul Mendy.
  • 62' Michel Adopo is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 63' What a strike from Sebastiano Esposito! The score is 1-0.
  • 68' It is a substitution in US Cremonese team. Jari Vandeputte is replaced by Martin Payero on 68 minute.
  • 73' Time for substitution for US Cremonese. Filippo Terracciano is replaced by Tommaso Barbieri.
  • 78' Another substitution for US Cremonese to replace Warren Bondo by Milan Duric on 78 minute.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. US Cremonese needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' The whistle greets Sebastiano Esposito as he departs to be replaced by Andrea Belotti.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Cagliari Calcio. Juan Martin Rodriguez is replaced by Alberto Dossena.
  • With this win, Cagliari Calcio is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 US Cremonese xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio47% Draw29% US Cremonese24%
Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
76%
Draw or US Cremonese
53%
Cagliari Calcio or US Cremonese
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio30% Draw51% US Cremonese19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push US Cremonese covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
40%
US Cremonese keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.