CA Paranaense vs Santos FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- Santos FC 34 games · 47 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Santos FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | CA Paranaense | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Goiás EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Cuiabá EC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #9 |
| 54 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 11 / 11 |
| 51 | Scored | 50 |
| 43 | Conceded | 49 |
| +8 | GD | +1 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 44% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
Santos FC this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). Santos FC are 9th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
9/8
46-60
7/4
61-75
3/4
76+
11/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Santos FC
| Gabriel Barbosa | 15 G | 4 A |
| Neymar | 8 G | 3 A |
| Alvaro Barreal | 5 G | 1 A |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Paranaense host Santos FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' The 34-year-old Stiven Mendoza has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Fernandinho, a Brazil , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joaquim is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Paranaense.
- 40' Vitor Roque needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 42' Poor challenge from Tomas Rincon. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 45' Joao Paulo was booked on 45.
- 50' Santos FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 52' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vitor Bueno makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 56' A moment of madness from Fernandinho on 56 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 60' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thiago Heleno on 60.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Erick on 65 minutes.
- 69' Time for substitution for Santos FC. Dodo is replaced by Stiven Mendoza.
- 74' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Santos FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 75' GOAL! Madson scores on 75. Assisted by Vitor Bueno
- 78' Alex Santana gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Christian and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' Poor challenge from Alex Santana. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rodrigo Fernandez.
- 85' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Vitor Roque is replaced by Willian.
- 88' A moment of madness from Caca on 88 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
- 89' Gabriel Inocencio is replacing Rodrigo Fernandez for the Santos FC side.
- 90' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Fernandinho has done his job and it is now time for Dudu to step up.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for Santos FC. Alfredo Morelos will be fuming at that decision.
- Full Time. CA Paranaense beats Santos FC
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
22
Madson ↓ Bruno Peres 78'
- 44
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Dudu 90'
- 28
- 4
- 26
-
88
Christian ↓ Alex Santana 78'
- 1
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Bruno Zapelli 78'
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Willian 85'
Bench
-
33
Bruno Peres ↑ 78'
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 78'
-
11
Willian ↑ 85'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 78'
- 32
- 45
- 21
- 35
- 24
- 42
- –
-
53
Dudu ↑ 90'
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
Santos FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 24
-
25
Tomas Rincon ↓ Alfredo Morelos 85'
-
–
Nonato ↓ Lucas Lima 78'
- 34
-
16
Dodo ↓ Stiven Mendoza 69'
- 10
- 30
- 28
- 14
- 11
Bench
- 19
-
23
Lucas Lima ↑ 78'
-
20
Stiven Mendoza ↑ 69'
- 2
-
–
Alfredo Morelos ↑ 85'
- 13
-
9
Marcos Leonardo Almeida ↑ 78'
- 52
-
12
Gabriel Inocencio ↑ 89'
- 36
- –
- 32
Coach
Marcelo Fernandes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcos Leonardo Almeida | 3 |
| Pablo Felipe | 3 |
| Luan | 2 |
| Carlos Sanchez | 2 |
| Marcos Guilherme | 2 |
| Thiago Heleno | 2 |
| Kevin Viveros | 2 |
| Guilherme | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Santos FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
77%
Draw or Santos FC
49%
CA Paranaense or Santos FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Santos FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

