CA Paranaense vs Santos FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- Santos FC 27 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Santos FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | CA Paranaense | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Goiás EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 49 | Points | 38 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 14 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 9 |
| 43 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 40 |
| +11 | GD | +1 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.41 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
Santos FC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). Santos FC are 8th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Santos FC
| Gabriel Barbosa | 11 G | 3 A |
| Neymar | 6 G | 3 A |
| Alvaro Barreal | 5 G | 1 A |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CA Paranaense launch into their encounter with Santos FC.
- 5' It looks surprising Santos FC does not make any changes. Joao Paulo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' CA Paranaense currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Lucas Braga, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Santos FC that had 290 games and scored 361 goals.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' Stiven Mendoza needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 40' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 42' That is a Yellow card for Santos FC. Tomas Rincon will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' Santos FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 52' A stunning finish from Vitor Bueno — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Fernandinho is booked for CA Paranaense — Yellow card on 56.
- 60' Thiago Heleno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 60.
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Erick on 65.
- 69' The Santos FC manager makes a substitution. Dodo departs to be replaced by Stiven Mendoza.
- 74' The travelling Santos FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 75' What a strike from Madson! The score is 2-0.
- 78' Alex Santana is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian at the 78 minute mark.
- 82' Alex Santana is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 84' Rodrigo Fernandez is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 85' Willian is replacing Vitor Roque for the CA Paranaense side.
- 88' That is a Yellow card for CA Paranaense. Caca will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' Another change for Santos FC made on 89 minute. Rodrigo Fernandez leaves to be changed by Gabriel Inocencio.
- 90' The whistle greets Fernandinho as he departs to be replaced by Dudu.
- 90' Santos FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Full Time. CA Paranaense beats Santos FC
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
22
Madson ↓ Bruno Peres 78'
- 44
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Dudu 90'
- 28
- 4
- 26
-
88
Christian ↓ Alex Santana 78'
- 1
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Bruno Zapelli 78'
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Willian 85'
Bench
-
33
Bruno Peres ↑ 78'
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 78'
-
11
Willian ↑ 85'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 78'
- 32
- 45
- 21
- 35
- 24
- 42
- –
-
53
Dudu ↑ 90'
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
Santos FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 24
-
25
Tomas Rincon ↓ Alfredo Morelos 85'
-
–
Nonato ↓ Lucas Lima 78'
- 34
-
16
Dodo ↓ Stiven Mendoza 69'
- 10
- 30
- 28
- 14
- 11
Bench
- 19
-
23
Lucas Lima ↑ 78'
-
20
Stiven Mendoza ↑ 69'
- 2
-
–
Alfredo Morelos ↑ 85'
- 13
-
9
Marcos Leonardo Almeida ↑ 78'
- 52
-
12
Gabriel Inocencio ↑ 89'
- 36
- –
- 32
Coach
Marcelo Fernandes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcos Leonardo Almeida | 3 |
| Pablo Felipe | 3 |
| Luan | 2 |
| Carlos Sanchez | 2 |
| Marcos Guilherme | 2 |
| Thiago Heleno | 2 |
| Kevin Viveros | 2 |
| Madson | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Santos FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
78%
Draw or Santos FC
47%
CA Paranaense or Santos FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Santos FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

