CA Paranaense vs Santos FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Santos FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Santos FC 21 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Santos FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | CA Paranaense | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Goiás EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Santos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #17 |
| 41 | Points | 22 |
| 23 | Played | 21 |
| 12 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 7 / 9 |
| 31 | Scored | 29 |
| 20 | Conceded | 35 |
| +11 | GD | -6 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.05 |
| 52% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season
Santos FC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts). Santos FC are 17th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/4
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 14 G | 2 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Santos FC
| Gabriel Barbosa | 7 G | 2 A |
| Neymar | 6 G | 2 A |
| Alvaro Barreal | 4 G | 1 A |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' CA Paranaense have kicked off against Santos FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' CA Paranaense are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Santos FC's shape.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Santos FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Fernandinho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
- 25' Santos FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. Santos FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcelo Fernandes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 42' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Tomas Rincon.
- 45' Santos FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 50' The 28-year-old Jean Lucas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 52' CA Paranaense is taking the lead after the goal scored by Vitor Bueno on 45.
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Fernandinho is booked for CA Paranaense — Yellow card on 56.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Thiago Heleno.
- 65' CA Paranaense player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 69' The Santos FC bench stirs into life. Dodo is withdrawn and Stiven Mendoza gets his opportunity.
- 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
- 75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Madson makes it 2-0.
- 78' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Christian is replaced by Alex Santana.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Santana on 82.
- 84' Santos FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 85' Willian gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Vitor Roque and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' That is a Yellow card for CA Paranaense. Caca will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' Gabriel Inocencio gets the nod from Santos FC. He replaces Rodrigo Fernandez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 90 minute. Fernandinho leaves to be changed by Dudu.
- 90' A moment of madness from Alfredo Morelos on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Santos FC will be frustrated.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CA Paranaense to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
-
22
Madson ↓ Bruno Peres 78'
- 44
-
5
Fernandinho ↓ Dudu 90'
- 28
- 4
- 26
-
88
Christian ↓ Alex Santana 78'
- 1
-
8
Vitor Bueno ↓ Bruno Zapelli 78'
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Willian 85'
Bench
-
33
Bruno Peres ↑ 78'
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 78'
-
11
Willian ↑ 85'
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 78'
- 32
- 45
- 21
- 35
- 24
- 42
- –
-
53
Dudu ↑ 90'
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
Santos FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 24
-
25
Tomas Rincon ↓ Alfredo Morelos 85'
-
–
Nonato ↓ Lucas Lima 78'
- 34
-
16
Dodo ↓ Stiven Mendoza 69'
- 10
- 30
- 28
- 14
- 11
Bench
- 19
-
23
Lucas Lima ↑ 78'
-
20
Stiven Mendoza ↑ 69'
- 2
-
–
Alfredo Morelos ↑ 85'
- 13
-
9
Marcos Leonardo Almeida ↑ 78'
- 52
-
12
Gabriel Inocencio ↑ 89'
- 36
- –
- 32
Coach
Marcelo Fernandes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcos Leonardo Almeida | 3 |
| Pablo Felipe | 3 |
| Marcos Guilherme | 2 |
| Thiago Heleno | 2 |
| Kevin Viveros | 2 |
| Luan | 2 |
| Carlos Sanchez | 2 |
| Abner | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Santos FC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
82%
Draw or Santos FC
44%
CA Paranaense or Santos FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Santos FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 25% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

