CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 23 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | Criciúma EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 41 | Points | 33 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 12 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 7 |
| 31 | Scored | 30 |
| 20 | Conceded | 31 |
| +11 | GD | -1 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 52% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 14 G | 2 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 5 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between CA Paranaense and Cruzeiro EC is underway.
- 1' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 1.
- 6' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Cruzeiro EC's 4-4-1-1 shape.
- 11' Ramiro has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 16' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' The whistle greets Madson as he departs to be replaced by Tomas Cuello.
- 23' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 25' A goal from the Brazil international Pablo Felipe! He fires home on 25 to make it 1-0!
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Veron made 389 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' Joao Victor has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Gonzalez will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Silva, as he is very good at scoring at Arena da Baixada with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 46' A stunning finish from Julimar — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' Gabriel Veron has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wesley on 46 minute.
- 50' The referee shows Cruzeiro EC player a card on 50.
- 55' CA Paranaense seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' The crowd applauds Mateus Vital as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Henrique steps in for Cruzeiro EC.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Pereira. He replaces Lucas Romero on 61 minute.
- 65' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Pablo Felipe is replaced by Emersonn.
- 70' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 75' Cruzeiro EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 77' The Cruzeiro EC manager makes a substitution. Kaiki Bruno departs to be replaced by Marlon.
- 79' The CA Paranaense bench stirs into life. Julimar is withdrawn and Gonzalo Mastriani gets his opportunity.
- 80' The deadlock is broken! Nikao gets on the scoresheet on 80 minutes.
- 85' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 90' William catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from CA Paranaense to claim maximum points.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
22
Madson ↓ Tomas Cuello 20'
- 44
- 11
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Emersonn 65'
- 4
- 26
-
20
Julimar ↓ Gonzalo Mastriani 79'
- 37
- 41
-
57
Joao Victor ↓ Fernandinho 65'
-
23
Filipinho ↓ Bruno Zapelli 79'
Bench
- 3
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 65'
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 20'
- 29
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 79'
- 8
-
9
Gonzalo Mastriani ↑ 79'
- 45
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 65'
- 24
- 61
- 15
Coach
Luis Gonzalez
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Matheus Pereira 61'
- 16
- 17
-
7
Mateus Vital ↓ Matheus Henrique 60'
- 98
-
2
Wesley ↓ Gabriel Veron 46'
- 5
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Marlon 77'
-
33
Fabrizio Peralta ↓ William 46'
- 34
- 8
Bench
-
97
Matheus Henrique ↑ 60'
-
3
Marlon ↑ 77'
-
12
William ↑ 46'
- 20
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↑ 61'
- 21
- 25
-
30
Gabriel Veron ↑ 46'
- 43
- 77
- 41
- 22
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Arthur Gomes | 2 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 1 |
| Fernandinho | 1 |
| Hernan Barcos | 1 |
| Matheus Pereira | 1 |
| Guilherme | 1 |
| Vitor Roque | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57% + CA Paranaense to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
82%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
43%
CA Paranaense or Cruzeiro EC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
2 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

