CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | Criciúma EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 30 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 3 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 24 |
| 18 | Conceded | 28 |
| +6 | GD | -4 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 50% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
CA Paranaense are 4th (30 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 11 G | 1 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. CA Paranaense host Cruzeiro EC — let the battle begin!
- 1' Rafael Silva picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 6' Cruzeiro EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
- 16' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. Cruzeiro EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Another substitution for CA Paranaense to replace Madson by Tomas Cuello on 20 minute.
- 23' It’s gonna be a card for Fabrizio Peralta.
- 25' Pablo Felipe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 30' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Cruzeiro EC's 4-4-1-1 shape.
- 35' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Cruzeiro EC's compact 4-4-1-1.
- 46' Assisted by Pablo Felipe with the perfectly-timed delivery and Julimar makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 46' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Gabriel Veron on, Wesley off on 46 minutes.
- 50' Ze Ivaldo was booked on 50.
- 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Matheus Henrique comes on to replace Mateus Vital.
- 61' The crowd applauds Lucas Romero as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Pereira steps in for Cruzeiro EC.
- 65' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Emersonn comes on to replace Pablo Felipe.
- 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Paranaense needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 75' Ze Ivaldo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 77' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Marlon comes on to replace Kaiki Bruno.
- 79' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gonzalo Mastriani is hanging Julimar on the field on 79 minute.
- 80' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nikao makes it 3-0.
- 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 90' That is a card for Cruzeiro EC. William will be fuming at that decision.
- 3-0 the final result. Cruzeiro EC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
22
Madson ↓ Tomas Cuello 20'
- 44
- 11
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Emersonn 65'
- 4
- 26
-
20
Julimar ↓ Gonzalo Mastriani 79'
- 37
- 41
-
57
Joao Victor ↓ Fernandinho 65'
-
23
Filipinho ↓ Bruno Zapelli 79'
Bench
- 3
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 65'
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 20'
- 29
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 79'
- 8
-
9
Gonzalo Mastriani ↑ 79'
- 45
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 65'
- 24
- 61
- 15
Coach
Luis Gonzalez
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Matheus Pereira 61'
- 16
- 17
-
7
Mateus Vital ↓ Matheus Henrique 60'
- 98
-
2
Wesley ↓ Gabriel Veron 46'
- 5
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Marlon 77'
-
33
Fabrizio Peralta ↓ William 46'
- 34
- 8
Bench
-
97
Matheus Henrique ↑ 60'
-
3
Marlon ↑ 77'
-
12
William ↑ 46'
- 20
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↑ 61'
- 21
- 25
-
30
Gabriel Veron ↑ 46'
- 43
- 77
- 41
- 22
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Arthur Gomes | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Jonathan | 1 |
| Nikao | 1 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | 1 |
| Julimar | 1 |
| Giorgian De Arrascaeta | 1 |
| Wesley | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
82%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
43%
CA Paranaense or Cruzeiro EC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

