CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | Criciúma EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Cuiabá EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | São Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 54 | Points | 60 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 10 |
| 51 | Scored | 55 |
| 43 | Conceded | 48 |
| +8 | GD | +7 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.76 |
| 44% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Paranaense and Cruzeiro EC get this one started.
- 1' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rafael Silva on 1.
- 6' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cruzeiro EC that had 266 games and scored 244 goals.
- 11' It looks like no one’s ball. Cruzeiro EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 16' Rafael Silva has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' CA Paranaense make a change. Madson trudges off to be replaced by Tomas Cuello on 20 minutes.
- 23' A moment of madness from Fabrizio Peralta on 23 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- 25' A stunning finish from Pablo Felipe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Cruzeiro EC winning 50% of all matches.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Cruzeiro EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Matheus Pereira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' Julimar is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
- 46' Time for substitution for Cruzeiro EC. Wesley is replaced by Gabriel Veron.
- 50' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and Cruzeiro EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 60' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Mateus Vital is replaced by Matheus Henrique on 60 minute.
- 61' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Matheus Pereira comes on to replace Lucas Romero.
- 65' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 65 minute. Pablo Felipe leaves to be changed by Emersonn.
- 70' CA Paranaense are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Cruzeiro EC's 4-4-1-1 shape.
- 75' William has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 484 appearances.
- 77' The whistle greets Kaiki Bruno as he departs to be replaced by Marlon.
- 79' The whistle greets Julimar as he departs to be replaced by Gonzalo Mastriani.
- 80' Nikao makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and CA Paranaense are in front.
- 85' Mycael has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. William is booked for Cruzeiro EC — card on 90.
- 3-0 the final result. Cruzeiro EC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
22
Madson ↓ Tomas Cuello 20'
- 44
- 11
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Emersonn 65'
- 4
- 26
-
20
Julimar ↓ Gonzalo Mastriani 79'
- 37
- 41
-
57
Joao Victor ↓ Fernandinho 65'
-
23
Filipinho ↓ Bruno Zapelli 79'
Bench
- 3
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 65'
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 20'
- 29
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 79'
- 8
-
9
Gonzalo Mastriani ↑ 79'
- 45
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 65'
- 24
- 61
- 15
Coach
Luis Gonzalez
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Matheus Pereira 61'
- 16
- 17
-
7
Mateus Vital ↓ Matheus Henrique 60'
- 98
-
2
Wesley ↓ Gabriel Veron 46'
- 5
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Marlon 77'
-
33
Fabrizio Peralta ↓ William 46'
- 34
- 8
Bench
-
97
Matheus Henrique ↑ 60'
-
3
Marlon ↑ 77'
-
12
William ↑ 46'
- 20
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↑ 61'
- 21
- 25
-
30
Gabriel Veron ↑ 46'
- 43
- 77
- 41
- 22
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira | 2 |
| Arthur Gomes | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Guilherme | 1 |
| Vitor Roque | 1 |
| Raphael Veiga | 1 |
| Gabriel Veron | 1 |
| Marcelo | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
78%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
48%
CA Paranaense or Cruzeiro EC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

