CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | Criciúma EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 49 | Points | 45 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 14 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 9 |
| 43 | Scored | 42 |
| 32 | Conceded | 40 |
| +11 | GD | +2 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 50% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CA Paranaense to score. At the same time, Cruzeiro EC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 1' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rafael Silva on 1.
- 6' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ze Ivaldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
- 11' Marlon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomas Cuello is hanging Madson on the field on 20 minute.
- 23' A moment of madness from Fabrizio Peralta on 23 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- 25' CA Paranaense is taking the lead after the goal scored by Pablo Felipe on 25.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Gonzalez will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cruzeiro EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' The travelling Cruzeiro EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' A goal from the Brazil international Julimar! He fires home on 46 to make it 2-0!
- 46' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Wesley exits the field as Gabriel Veron enters on 46.
- 50' Cruzeiro EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 55' Cruzeiro EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Henrique. He replaces Mateus Vital on 60 minute.
- 61' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Lucas Romero exits the field as Matheus Pereira enters on 61.
- 65' Emersonn has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pablo Felipe on 65 minute.
- 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' CA Paranaense looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 77' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Kaiki Bruno trudges off to be replaced by Marlon on 77 minutes.
- 79' The whistle greets Julimar as he departs to be replaced by Gonzalo Mastriani.
- 80' Brilliant from the ! Nikao makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 80.
- 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 90' William is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Another three points for CA Paranaense.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
22
Madson ↓ Tomas Cuello 20'
- 44
- 11
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Emersonn 65'
- 4
- 26
-
20
Julimar ↓ Gonzalo Mastriani 79'
- 37
- 41
-
57
Joao Victor ↓ Fernandinho 65'
-
23
Filipinho ↓ Bruno Zapelli 79'
Bench
- 3
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 65'
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 20'
- 29
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↑ 79'
- 8
-
9
Gonzalo Mastriani ↑ 79'
- 45
-
90
Emersonn ↑ 65'
- 24
- 61
- 15
Coach
Luis Gonzalez
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Matheus Pereira 61'
- 16
- 17
-
7
Mateus Vital ↓ Matheus Henrique 60'
- 98
-
2
Wesley ↓ Gabriel Veron 46'
- 5
-
6
Kaiki Bruno ↓ Marlon 77'
-
33
Fabrizio Peralta ↓ William 46'
- 34
- 8
Bench
-
97
Matheus Henrique ↑ 60'
-
3
Marlon ↑ 77'
-
12
William ↑ 46'
- 20
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↑ 61'
- 21
- 25
-
30
Gabriel Veron ↑ 46'
- 43
- 77
- 41
- 22
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira | 2 |
| Arthur Gomes | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Guilherme | 1 |
| Vitor Roque | 1 |
| Raphael Veiga | 1 |
| Gabriel Veron | 1 |
| Marcelo | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.78
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
CA Paranaense to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
80%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
45%
CA Paranaense or Cruzeiro EC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

