Thursday , 1 October 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Mon 26 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 75' Jack Diamond

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
10 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Dec Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D
27 Nov Chippenham Town FC H 6–1 W
19 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burton Albion FC A 0–3 L
10 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
03 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–2 L
19 Nov Morecambe FC H 2–1 W
12 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
05 Nov Chippenham Town FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pirelli Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Burton Albion FC and Lincoln City FC.
  • 5' Sam Hughes has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
  • 6' Against the run of play, Sam Hughes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' Lasse Sorensen, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 14' Magnificent from Jonny Smith! That is 17 goals in 376 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 15' Jonny Smith does the damage! The net is bulging and Burton Albion FC surge ahead!
  • 20' Terry Taylor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' Victor Adeboyejo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 27 minutes.
  • 32' Wales international Regan Poole has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 36' The Lincoln City FC manager makes a substitution. Joe Walsh departs to be replaced by Ben House.
  • 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burton Albion FC and Lincoln City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' The Lincoln City FC manager makes a substitution. Max Sanders departs to be replaced by Lasse Sorensen.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Lincoln City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' The travelling Lincoln City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' The Lincoln City FC manager makes a substitution. Charles Vernam departs to be replaced by Teddy Bishop.
  • 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mark Kennedy will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Bobby Kamwa departs to be replaced by Joe Dodoo.
  • 75' Jack Diamond was booked on 75.
  • 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burton Albion FC and Lincoln City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 85' Lincoln City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 87' The whistle greets Jonny Smith as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Onyango.
  • 90' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mustapha Carayol is hanging Victor Adeboyejo on the field on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Burton Albion FC beats Lincoln City FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC53% Draw25% Lincoln City FC22%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
47%
Burton Albion FC or Lincoln City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC38% Draw45% Lincoln City FC17%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.