Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Mon 26 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 75' Jack Diamond

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
10 Dec Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Dec Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D
27 Nov Chippenham Town FC H 6–1 W
19 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burton Albion FC A 0–3 L
10 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
03 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–2 L
19 Nov Morecambe FC H 2–1 W
12 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
05 Nov Chippenham Town FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Burton Albion FC Lincoln City FC
#17 Position #1
54 Points 103
46 Played 46
13 / 15 / 18 W / D / L 31 / 10 / 5
50 Scored 89
60 Conceded 41
-10 GD +48
1.17 PPG 2.24
28% Win % 67%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts). Lincoln City FC are 1st (103 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Burton Albion FC host Lincoln City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Brilliant from the ! Sam Hughes makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 5.
  • 6' Sam Hughes does the damage! The net is bulging and Burton Albion FC surge ahead!
  • 11' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burton Albion FC and Lincoln City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 14' What a moment for Jonny Smith! That strike on 14 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 15' Jonny Smith does the damage! The net is bulging and Burton Albion FC surge ahead!
  • 20' Burton Albion FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Lincoln City FC's shape.
  • 27' What a strike from Victor Adeboyejo! The score is 5-0.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Charles Vernam made 21 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' The supporters are chanting for Ben House. He replaces Joe Walsh on 36 minute.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' The whistle greets Max Sanders as he departs to be replaced by Lasse Sorensen.
  • 51' Burton Albion FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
  • 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 65' Lincoln City FC ring the changes. Charles Vernam has done his job and it is now time for Teddy Bishop to step up.
  • 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FC — Joe Dodoo on, Bobby Kamwa off on 72 minutes.
  • 75' It’s a booking for Lincoln City FC player. Jack Diamond gets a Yellow card.
  • 80' Joe Walsh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 87' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Jonny Smith exits the field as Tyler Onyango enters on 87.
  • 90' Another change for Burton Albion FC made on 90 minute. Victor Adeboyejo leaves to be changed by Mustapha Carayol.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Burton Albion FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Lincoln City FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC43% Draw26% Lincoln City FC31%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
57%
Burton Albion FC or Lincoln City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC29% Draw45% Lincoln City FC26%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–0 not predicted
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.