Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 30 Jul 2022 · 14:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Birmingham City FC H 0–0 D
16 May Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
07 May Reading FC H 1–0 W
02 May Fulham FC A 0–7 L
23 Apr Blackpool FC H 1–1 D
18 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
07 May Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
30 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
23 Apr Millwall FC H 2–2 D
18 Apr Blackpool FC A 1–6 L
15 Apr Coventry City FC H 2–4 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kenilworth Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cameron Jerome, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 20' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Marc Roberts needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 35' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a Yellow card on 35.
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' The referee shows Birmingham City FC player a Yellow card on 50.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Luke Freeman is replaced by Cauley Woodrow.
  • 75' John Ruddy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 41 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Lukas Jutkiewicz. He replaces Troy Deeney on 78 minute.
  • 83' The whistle greets Przemyslaw Placheta as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Graham.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Elijah Adebayo is replaced by Cameron Jerome on 84 minute.
  • 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC39% Draw31% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
61%
Luton Town FC or Birmingham City FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw53% Birmingham City FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.7%
3 – 0
2.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.