Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Memorial Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Josh Vela
Chris Martin 34' 1–1
Scott Sinclair 51' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Parsons (England)
  • Assistant 1 Alan Cresswell (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Aylott
7 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Head-to-Head

2
Bristol Rovers FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–3 L
13 Feb Stevenage FC A 3–2 W
10 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
06 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
03 Feb Exeter City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Cambridge United FC H 0–4 L
10 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
27 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–4 L
16 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Bristol Rovers FC welcome Carlisle United FC for this crunch clash at Memorial Stadium.
  • 5' Bristol Rovers FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Bristol Rovers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 16' Josh Vela adds to his 0 season tally! Carlisle United FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 21' Bristol Rovers FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Carlisle United FC backline.
  • 22' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jack Hunt.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' The 23-year-old Jed Ward has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 34' Chris Martin adds to his 0 season tally! Bristol Rovers FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luke Armstrong is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Carlisle United FC.
  • 44' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol Rovers FC in their trying to find a way past Carlisle United FC's compact .
  • 49' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. Luke Thomas is booked for Bristol Rovers FC — card on 50.
  • 51' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Scott Sinclair makes it 2-1.
  • 56' Harrison Neal is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Armer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' James Wilson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' Daniel Butterworth is replacing Fin Back for the Carlisle United FC side.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 77' Carlisle United FC have won 53 goals from 57 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 78' Harry Vaughan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luke Thomas at the 78 minute mark.
  • 82' Joshua Grant is replacing Jevani Brown for the Bristol Rovers FC side.
  • 87' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for John Marquis. He replaces Harvey Vale on 89 minute.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Luke Armstrong.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Bristol Rovers FC — Tristan Crama on, Scott Sinclair off on 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for Bristol Rovers FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC51% Draw26% Carlisle United FC23%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Bristol Rovers FC or Carlisle United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC32% Draw48% Carlisle United FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.