Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2019-20

Brisbane Roar FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 25 Oct 2019 · 08:30 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Storm Roux

Y 16' Thomas Deng

Scott Neville 39' Y

Roy O'Donovan 62' Y

Y 79' James Donachie

Tom Aldred 80' Y

Y 89' Jakob Poulsen

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
Referee Kurt Ams
Referee Andrew Lindsay
Referee Alex King
Referee David Walsh

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-03-16 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2019-01-15 Brisbane Roar FC 0–5 Melbourne Victory FC 2018-12-14 Brisbane Roar FC 2–4 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	H	0–1	L
13 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	1–1	D
25 Apr	Adelaide United FC	H	3–5	L
20 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–6	L
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–1	W
05 Apr	Melbourne City FC	A	1–4	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–2	L
12 Oct	Melbourne City FC	H	0–0	D
12 May	Sydney FC	A	1–6	L
03 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–1	W
27 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#11	Position	#4
26	Points	40
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
-9	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.54
23%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Brisbane Roar FC have won 245 goals from 205 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
8' Melbourne Victory FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 8.
13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
16' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Thomas Deng gets a Yellow card.
19' Andrew Nabbout does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
24' The travelling Melbourne Victory FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Brisbane Roar FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
34' Republic of Ireland international Roy O'Donovan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Andrew Nabbout is replaced by Kenny Athiu on 35 minute.
39' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Scott Neville on 39 minutes.
44' Thomas Deng has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
49' Brad Inman needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
54' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
60' The supporters are chanting for Jakob Poulsen. He replaces Kristijan Dobras on 60 minute.
62' Roy O'Donovan picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
67' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
72' Over 72 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
76' The crowd applauds Brad Inman as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Amadi-Holloway steps in for Brisbane Roar FC.
79' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. James Donachie gets a Yellow card.
80' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Tom Aldred.
85' Jake McGing makes way for Jai Ingham at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brisbane Roar FC.
89' The referee has no hesitation. Jakob Poulsen is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — Yellow card on 89.
90' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Connor O'Toole departs to be replaced by Dylan Wenzel-Halls.
Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

26
Jay O'Shea
10
Brad Inman ↓ Aaron Amadi-Holloway 76'
6
Macaulay Gillesphey
24
Connor O'Toole ↓ Dylan Wenzel-Halls 90'
13
Stefan Mauk
22
Jake McGing ↓ Jai Ingham 85'
12
Aiden O'Neill
9
Roy O'Donovan
2
Scott Neville
5
Tom Aldred C
1
Max Crocombe

Bench

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Kurz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Scott McDonald	3
Ola Toivonen	3
Andrew Nabbout	2
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Henry Hore	1
Alex Parsons	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-10-13 Perth Glory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2019-04-25 Brisbane Roar FC 3–5 Adelaide United FC L 2019-04-20 Brisbane Roar FC 1–6 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2019-04-12 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2019-04-05 Melbourne City FC 4–1 Brisbane Roar FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2019-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2019-10-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Melbourne City FC D 2019-05-12 Sydney FC 6–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-05-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2019-04-27 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.19 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.04 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC23% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC53%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.23

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

47%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

77%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC18% Draw41% Melbourne Victory FC41%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.2%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

6.4%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 0

5.5%

2 – 1

5.5%

0 – 3

5.5%

1 – 0

2 – 3

3.8%

1 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	12%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	44%	—	56%
+1	44%	22%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	17%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.