Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2019-20

Brisbane Roar FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 25 Oct 2019 · 08:30 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 8' Storm Roux

Y 16' Thomas Deng

Scott Neville 39' Y

Roy O'Donovan 62' Y

Y 79' James Donachie

Tom Aldred 80' Y

Y 89' Jakob Poulsen

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
Referee Kurt Ams
Referee Andrew Lindsay
Referee Alex King
Referee David Walsh

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2019-03-16 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2019-01-15 Brisbane Roar FC 0–5 Melbourne Victory FC 2018-12-14 Brisbane Roar FC 2–4 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	H	0–1	L
13 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	1–1	D
25 Apr	Adelaide United FC	H	3–5	L
20 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–6	L
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	2–1	W
05 Apr	Melbourne City FC	A	1–4	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–2	L
12 Oct	Melbourne City FC	H	0–0	D
12 May	Sydney FC	A	1–6	L
03 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	3–1	W
27 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#11	Position	#4
26	Points	40
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
-9	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.54
23%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Brisbane Roar FC have kicked off against Melbourne Victory FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
8' Storm Roux has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 8.
13' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
16' That is a Yellow card for Melbourne Victory FC. Thomas Deng will be fuming at that decision.
19' Brilliant from the ! Andrew Nabbout makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 19.
24' It looks like no one’s ball. Brisbane Roar FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
29' Jakob Poulsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
34' Brisbane Roar FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
35' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Andrew Nabbout trudges off to be replaced by Kenny Athiu on 35 minutes.
39' The referee shows Brisbane Roar FC player a Yellow card on 39.
44' Brisbane Roar FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
54' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
60' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Kristijan Dobras is withdrawn and Jakob Poulsen gets his opportunity.
62' Brisbane Roar FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
67' Ireland international Jay O'Shea has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
72' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stefan Mauk is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Brisbane Roar FC.
76' The crowd applauds Brad Inman as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Amadi-Holloway steps in for Brisbane Roar FC.
79' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for James Donachie.
80' A moment of madness from Tom Aldred on 80 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Brisbane Roar FC will be frustrated.
85' A tactical swap from Brisbane Roar FC — Jai Ingham on, Jake McGing off on 85 minutes.
89' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jakob Poulsen.
90' The Brisbane Roar FC bench stirs into life. Connor O'Toole is withdrawn and Dylan Wenzel-Halls gets his opportunity.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Melbourne Victory FC players.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

26
Jay O'Shea
10
Brad Inman ↓ Aaron Amadi-Holloway 76'
6
Macaulay Gillesphey
24
Connor O'Toole ↓ Dylan Wenzel-Halls 90'
13
Stefan Mauk
22
Jake McGing ↓ Jai Ingham 85'
12
Aiden O'Neill
9
Roy O'Donovan
2
Scott Neville
5
Tom Aldred C
1
Max Crocombe

Bench

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Kurz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Ola Toivonen	3
Scott McDonald	3
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Andrew Nabbout	2
Jake Brimmer	1
Zinedine Machach	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-10-13 Perth Glory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2019-04-25 Brisbane Roar FC 3–5 Adelaide United FC L 2019-04-20 Brisbane Roar FC 1–6 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2019-04-12 Brisbane Roar FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2019-04-05 Melbourne City FC 4–1 Brisbane Roar FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2019-10-25 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2019-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2019-10-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Melbourne City FC D 2019-05-12 Sydney FC 6–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2019-05-03 Melbourne Victory FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2019-04-27 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.19 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.04 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC23% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC53%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.23

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

47%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

77%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC18% Draw41% Melbourne Victory FC41%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.2%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

6.4%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 0

5.5%

2 – 1

5.5%

0 – 3

5.5%

1 – 0

2 – 3

3.8%

1 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	12%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	44%	—	56%
+1	44%	22%	34%
+1.5	66%	—	34%
+2	66%	17%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.