Thursday , 1 October 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2018-19
Sat 16 Mar 2019 · 08:50 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Beath
  • Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
  • Referee Daniel Illievski
  • Referee Jack Morgan
  • Referee George Lakrindis

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Brisbane Roar FC
#4 Position #11
40 Points 26
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
44 Scored 27
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD -9
1.54 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 23%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Brisbane Roar FC's compact .
  • 10' Brisbane Roar FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brisbane Roar FC's shape.
  • 17' Eric Bautheac picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 24' Kosta Barbarouses makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
  • 29' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Leigh Broxham has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' Brilliant from the ! Kosta Barbarouses makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 39.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
  • 50' Eric Bautheac has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
  • 55' Corey Brown has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 59' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Ola Toivonen departs to be replaced by Kenjok Athiu.
  • 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Lopez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Brisbane Roar FC.
  • 66' The whistle greets Eli Babalj as he departs to be replaced by Tobias Mikkelsen.
  • 68' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Josh Hope departs to be replaced by Carl Valeri.
  • 71' Brisbane Roar FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zachary Duncan is hanging Daniel Leck on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Stefan Nigro as he leaves the pitch. Henrique Silva steps in for Brisbane Roar FC.
  • 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 86' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace James Troisi by Rahmat Akbari on 86 minute.
  • The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 2-1 Brisbane Roar FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC61% Draw21% Brisbane Roar FC18%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
39%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC45% Draw38% Brisbane Roar FC17%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.