Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Chris Beath
- Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
- Referee Daniel Illievski
- Referee Jack Morgan
- Referee George Lakrindis
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Feb | Perth Glory FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Feb | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Feb | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 16 Feb | Perth Glory FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sydney FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Adelaide United FC | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Brisbane Roar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 26 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 12 |
| 44 | Scored | 27 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | -9 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 42% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Brisbane Roar FC's compact .
- 10' Brisbane Roar FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brisbane Roar FC's shape.
- 17' Eric Bautheac picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 24' Kosta Barbarouses makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
- 29' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Leigh Broxham has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' Brilliant from the ! Kosta Barbarouses makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 39.
- 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
- 50' Eric Bautheac has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 55' Corey Brown has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 59' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Ola Toivonen departs to be replaced by Kenjok Athiu.
- 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Lopez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Brisbane Roar FC.
- 66' The whistle greets Eli Babalj as he departs to be replaced by Tobias Mikkelsen.
- 68' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Josh Hope departs to be replaced by Carl Valeri.
- 71' Brisbane Roar FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zachary Duncan is hanging Daniel Leck on the field on 71 minute.
- 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 80' The crowd applauds Stefan Nigro as he leaves the pitch. Henrique Silva steps in for Brisbane Roar FC.
- 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 86' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace James Troisi by Rahmat Akbari on 86 minute.
- The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 2-1 Brisbane Roar FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
10
James Troisi ↓ Rahmat Akbari 86'
-
11
Ola Toivonen ↓ Kenny Athiu 59'
- 3
- 1
- 6
-
16
Josh Hope ↓ Carl Valeri 68'
- 9
- 2
- 5
- 15
Bench
- 20
-
21
Carl Valeri ↑ 68'
-
7
Kenny Athiu ↑ 59'
- 25
-
19
Rahmat Akbari ↑ 86'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
Brisbane Roar FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 17
- 7
- 8
- 11
-
36
Daniel Leck ↓ Zach Duncan 71'
-
15
Stefan Nigro ↓ Henrique Silva 80'
- 23
- 12
- 14
-
92
Eli Babalj ↓ Tobias Mikkelsen 66'
Bench
- 18
-
33
Henrique Silva ↑ 80'
-
22
Tobias Mikkelsen ↑ 66'
- 31
-
32
Zach Duncan ↑ 71'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosta Barbarouses | 7 |
| Scott McDonald | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 3 |
| Marco Rojas | 2 |
| Riku Danzaki | 2 |
| Andrew Nabbout | 2 |
| Alex Parsons | 1 |
| Matt Ridenton | 1 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2019-03-16
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2019-03-02
Melbourne Victory FC
0–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2019-02-23
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
2019-02-15
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2019-02-10
Melbourne Victory FC
1–2
Perth Glory FC
L
2019-02-02
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Brisbane Roar FC Form
2019-03-16
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2019-03-08
Brisbane Roar FC
1–4
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2019-02-22
Central Coast Mariners FC
3–5
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2019-02-16
Perth Glory FC
4–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2019-02-08
Brisbane Roar FC
2–1
Sydney FC
W
2019-02-02
Adelaide United FC
4–3
Brisbane Roar FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
39%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Brisbane Roar FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 21% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

