Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.
- Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
- Referee Andrew Lindsay
- Referee Nathan MacDonald
- Referee Alex King
- Referee Jonathon Barreiro
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 0–5 | L |
| 11 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 02 Jan | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Brisbane Roar FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 6 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 27 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| -9 | GD | +11 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 23% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
- 5' Brisbane Roar FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 14' Ola Toivonen does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
- 19' Brisbane Roar FC is showing some good football. However, Brisbane Roar FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' Luke De Vere is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Brisbane Roar FC so far.
- 29' The 39-year-old Elvis Kamsoba has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 34' A quiet spell here at Suncorp Stadium. Brisbane Roar FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brisbane Roar FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kevin Muscat will be considering his options from the bench.
- 48' GOAL! Kosta Barbarouses scores on 48.
- 53' Joe Caletti is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Brisbane Roar FC tonight.
- 58' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Rahmat Akbari is withdrawn and Raul Baena gets his opportunity.
- 63' Dylan Wenzel-Halls is replacing Luke De Vere for the Brisbane Roar FC side.
- 65' A stunning finish from Storm Roux — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 68' That is a Yellow card for Brisbane Roar FC. Stefan Nigro will be fuming at that decision.
- 72' What composure from Kosta Barbarouses! The New Zealand international strokes it home. 0-4.
- 73' Elvis Kamsoba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ola Toivonen at the 73 minute mark.
- 76' Henrique Silva gets the nod from Brisbane Roar FC. He replaces Nicholas D'Agostino and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' Aaron Reardon gets the nod from Brisbane Roar FC. He replaces Eric Bautheac and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kevin Muscat might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 87' A stunning finish from Kosta Barbarouses — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' Alex Lopez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Melbourne Victory FC players.
Lineups
Brisbane Roar FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 4
- 3
- 24
- 2
- 18
-
11
Eric Bautheac ↓ Aaron Reardon 81'
- 26
- 15
- 9
- 14
Bench
- 1
-
34
Aaron Reardon ↑ 81'
- 7
-
33
Henrique Silva ↑ 76'
-
23
Dylan Wenzel-Halls ↑ 63'
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
11
Ola Toivonen ↓ Elvis Kamsoba 73'
- 3
- 20
- 14
- 6
- 21
- 8
- 9
- 2
-
19
Rahmat Akbari ↓ Raul Baena 58'
Bench
- 1
- 16
-
15
Raul Baena ↑ 58'
-
25
Anthony Lesiotis ↑ 81'
-
24
Elvis Kamsoba ↑ 73'
Coach
Kevin Muscat
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosta Barbarouses | 7 |
| Ola Toivonen | 3 |
| Scott McDonald | 3 |
| Marco Rojas | 2 |
| Riku Danzaki | 2 |
| Andrew Nabbout | 2 |
| Jake Brimmer | 1 |
| Zinedine Machach | 1 |
Head to Head
Brisbane Roar FC Form
2019-01-15
Brisbane Roar FC
0–5
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2019-01-11
Melbourne City FC
1–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2019-01-06
Brisbane Roar FC
2–4
Perth Glory FC
L
2019-01-02
Newcastle United Jets FC
2–2
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2018-12-29
Sydney FC
2–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2018-12-22
Wellington Phoenix FC
4–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2019-01-15
Brisbane Roar FC
0–5
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2019-01-12
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2019-01-09
Adelaide United FC
2–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2019-01-05
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2018-12-28
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2018-12-22
Melbourne City FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.01
Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.8
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Melbourne Victory FC to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
35%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
84%
Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–5 not predicted0 – 5Actual
0 – 2
8.8%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 3
8%
1 – 3
7.9%
1 – 1
7%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 4
5.5%
0 – 4
5.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4%
0 – 0
3.3%
1 – 5
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC
| Handicap | Brisbane Roar FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +1 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| +1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +2 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| +2.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
Clean Sheet
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

